Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Jurickson Profar

matchup for Michael King

419th out of 436 (Worst 4%)

Michael King

matchup for J. Profar

448th out of 567 (Worst 21%)

Strong advantage for Profar

Jurickson Profar has a 34.5% chance of reaching base vs Michael King, which is 1.0% lower than Profar's typical expectations, and 3.9% higher than batters facing King.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	34.5%	21.5%	3.1%	5.0%	13.4%	13.0%	23.1%
Profar	-1.0	-1.3	+0.1	-1.0	-0.5	+0.4	+5.8
King	+3.9	+0.6	+0.6	+0.7	-0.6	+3.3	-5.8

Jurickson Profar is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Michael King is right handed with an extreme release toward the third base side. Profar has a B+ grade vs this particular release point.

Michael King throws a Sinker 37% of the time. Jurickson Profar has a B grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Sinker (R)

37%

Slider (R)

20%

4-Seam (R)

20%

Changeup (R)

18%

Curve (R)

7% of Michael King's pitches are classified as Strong Challenges, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Jurickson Profar has an F grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Strong Challenge 7%

+2%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Chaser 6%

+0%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Weak Challenge 8%

+0%

Mid Challenge 11%

Likely Ball 19%

Non-Competitive 12%

-1%

Meatball 3%

-3%

48% of Michael King's pitches are classified as Extreme Break Toward Third Base, which is 33% higher than the MLB average. Jurickson Profar has a B grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Extreme Break 48%

+33%

Just Gravity 30%

+17%

Medium Fast Velo 24%

+9%

10.3% of Jurickson Profar's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 7.2% lower than the league average. Michael King strikes out 18.7% of the batters he faces, which is 4.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Strikeout -7.2% +4.7% 3%

Walk +2.7% +0.1% 38%

In Play +4.6% -4.8% 39%

On Base +4.7% -2.2% 31%

Hit +2.0% -2.3% 14%

Single +0.8% -0.5% 13%

2B / 3B +0.9% -1.4% 3%

Home Run +0.3% -0.4%

35.1% of Jurickson Profar's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 0.7% higher than the league average. Michael King induces Standard Grounders at a 36.8% rate, which is 2.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.5% +0.1% 34%

Standard Grounder +0.7% +2.4% 7%

Hard Grounder +0.7% -1.5% 14%

Low Screamer +1.8% +2.1% 9%

Rising Liner -1.2% -1.8% 4%

Maybe Homer -0.9% +0.6% 3%

Likely Homer -0.3% +1.5% 1%

No Doubter -0.7% +0.3% 20%

Routine Flyout -1.5% -3.0% 3%

Pop up +0.8% -0.7%

20.5% of Jurickson Profar's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 3.8% lower than the league average. 22.9% of batted balls allowed by Michael King are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +0.4% +2.5% 21%

75 to 86 mph +0.7% +1.9% 18%

87 to 93 mph +2.1% -2.8% 19%

94 to 99 mph +0.6% -0.3% 24%

Above 100 mph -3.8% -1.4%

12.3% of Jurickson Profar's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.9% higher than the league average. 12.5% of batted balls allowed by Michael King are hit at this angle, which is 1.0% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° +1.2% +0.1% 12%

-10 to 0° +0.2% -1.5% 8%

1 to 6° -0.5% +0.6% 18%

7 to 18° -1.2% +0.1% 15%

19 to 28° -1.0% +0.7% 11%

29 to 38° +0.9% +1.0% 7%

39 to 50° -1.5% -1.6% 8%

Above 50° +2.0% +0.6%

Jurickson Profar has 3 plate appearances against Michael King in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 3 with 2 strikeouts.

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	3	3	1	0	0	1	2	0	0.333
Expected From Contact →			0.00	0.00	0.00	1.00			0.000

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2025-03-27	Single
2025-03-27	Strikeout
2023-07-14	Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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