matchup for Carlos Rodon
matchup for J. Profar
7
Jurickson Profar has a 33.6% chance of reaching base vs Carlos Rodon, which is 1.2% lower than Profar's typical expectations, and 4.9% higher than batters facing Rodon.
| Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prediction | 33.6% | 23.3% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 14.5% | 10.3% | 22.8% |
| Profar | -1.2 | -0.5 | +0.4 | -0.7 | -0.2 | -0.7 | +5.7 |
| Rodon | +4.9 | +2.9 | +0.7 | +1.2 | +1.1 | +2.0 | -11.4 |
Jurickson Profar is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Carlos Rodon is left handed with a horizontal release toward the first base side. Profar has a C grade vs this particular release point.
Carlos Rodon throws a 4-seam fastball 56% of the time. Jurickson Profar has a D grade against left-handed 4-seamers
Pitch Type
% of Arsenal
4-Seam (L)
56%
Slider (L)
28%
Changeup (L)
8%
Curve (L)
6%
14% of Carlos Rodon's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Jurickson Profar has a D+ grade against this type of pitch.
Pitch Label
% vs MLB
Mid Challenge
14%
+3%
Strong Challenge
8%
+2%
Likely Ball
20%
+1%
Chaser
7%
+1%
Fringe Miss
13%
+0%
Edge Painter
17%
0%
Non-Competitive
11%
-2%
Weak Challenge
7%
-2%
Meatball
3%
-3%
41% of Carlos Rodon's pitches are classified as Medium Break Toward Third Base, which is 22% higher than the MLB average. Jurickson Profar has a D grade against this type of pitch.
Physical Trait
% vs MLB
Medium Break
41%
+22%
High Ride
32%
+22%
Very Fast Velo
19%
+16%
9.9% of Jurickson Profar's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 7.9% lower than the league average. Carlos Rodon strikes out 19.6% of the batters he faces, which is 5.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.
17%
Strikeout
-7.9%
+5.5%
3%
Walk
+2.4%
+0.2%
37%
In Play
+5.5%
-5.7%
39%
On Base
+4.2%
-2.4%
31%
Hit
+1.8%
-2.7%
14%
Single
+0.5%
-1.6%
13%
2B / 3B
+1.0%
-1.5%
3%
Home Run
+0.3%
+0.4%
35.0% of Jurickson Profar's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 0.6% higher than the league average. Carlos Rodon induces Standard Grounders at a 29.2% rate, which is 5.2% lower than the typical MLB rate.
0%
Squib/Bunt
+0.5%
+0.8%
34%
Standard Grounder
+0.6%
-5.2%
7%
Hard Grounder
+0.7%
+0.5%
14%
Low Screamer
+1.9%
+2.1%
9%
Rising Liner
-1.1%
-0.9%
4%
Maybe Homer
-0.9%
-1.2%
3%
Likely Homer
-0.4%
+0.8%
1%
No Doubter
-0.7%
+1.0%
20%
Routine Flyout
-1.4%
+1.5%
3%
Pop up
+0.8%
+0.6%
20.4% of Jurickson Profar's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 3.9% lower than the league average. 25.9% of batted balls allowed by Carlos Rodon are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.
16%
Below 75 mph
+0.5%
-3.0%
21%
75 to 86 mph
+0.6%
+1.0%
18%
87 to 93 mph
+2.1%
-0.4%
19%
94 to 99 mph
+0.8%
+0.8%
24%
Above 100 mph
-3.9%
+1.6%
12.3% of Jurickson Profar's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.9% higher than the league average. 10.8% of batted balls allowed by Carlos Rodon are hit at this angle, which is 0.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.
17%
Below -10°
+1.1%
-2.4%
12%
-10 to 0°
+0.2%
-1.5%
8%
1 to 6°
-0.5%
+0.5%
18%
7 to 18°
-1.2%
-1.0%
15%
19 to 28°
-1.1%
+0.6%
11%
29 to 38°
+0.9%
-0.7%
7%
39 to 50°
-1.4%
+2.7%
8%
Above 50°
+2.0%
+1.8%
Jurickson Profar has 11 plate appearances against Carlos Rodon in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 9 with 2 walks
| PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | 11 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0.111 |
| Expected From Contact → | 1.88 | 0.00 | 0.04 | 1.84 | 0.209 | ||||
| Expected From Contact | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
| 2024-05-24 | Strikeout | ||||
| 2024-05-24 | Groundout | 7% | 93% | ||
| 2024-05-24 | Lineout | 2% | 78% | 20% | |
| 2023-07-14 | Strikeout | ||||
| 2023-07-14 | Flyout | 99% | |||
| 2023-07-14 | Groundout | 4% | 96% | ||
| 2022-08-29 | Walk | ||||
| 2022-08-29 | Pop Out | 2% | 98% | ||
| 2022-05-21 | Walk | ||||
| 2022-05-21 | Field Error | ||||
| 2022-05-21 | Single | 1% | 92% | 6% | |
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.
