Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Jurickson Profar

matchup for Yusei Kikuchi

406th out of 436 (Worst 7%)

Yusei Kikuchi

matchup for J. Profar

531st out of 567 (Worst 7%)

Leans in favor of Profar

Jurickson Profar has a 29.3% chance of reaching base vs Yusei Kikuchi, which is 5.4% lower than Profar's typical expectations, and 2.7% higher than batters facing Kikuchi.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	29.3%	21.4%	3.0%	6.0%	12.4%	7.9%	21.5%
Profar	-5.4	-2.4	-0.2	+0.1	-2.2	-3.1	+4.5
Kikuchi	+2.7	+0.8	+0.3	+1.2	-0.7	+1.9	-8.0

Jurickson Profar is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Yusei Kikuchi is left handed with a horizontal release toward the first base side. Profar has a C grade vs this particular release point.

Yusei Kikuchi throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. Jurickson Profar has a D grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (L)

44%

Slider (L)

24%

Changeup (L)

11%

Curve (L)

11%

Cutter (L)

7% of Yusei Kikuchi's pitches are classified as Strong Challenges, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Jurickson Profar has an F grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Strong Challenge 7%

+2%

Mid Challenge 13%

+2%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Non-Competitive 13%

+0%

Edge Painter 17%

+0%

Chaser 6%

Meatball 5%

-1%

Weak Challenge 7%

-2%

Likely Ball 18%

-2%

28% of Yusei Kikuchi's pitches are classified as Fast Velocity, which is 18% higher than the MLB average. Jurickson Profar has a D grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Fast Velo 28%

+18%

Minimal Break 18%

+8%

Medium Ride 22%

+8%

9.9% of Jurickson Profar's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 7.9% lower than the league average. Yusei Kikuchi strikes out 18.3% of the batters he faces, which is 4.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Strikeout -7.9% +4.3% 3%

Walk +2.4% -1.4% 37%

In Play +5.5% -2.8% 39%

On Base +4.2% -0.9% 31%

Hit +1.8% +0.5% 14%

Single +0.5% +0.1% 13%

2B / 3B +1.0% +0.3% 3%

Home Run +0.3% +0.2%

35.0% of Jurickson Profar's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 0.6% higher than the league average. Yusei Kikuchi induces Standard Grounders at a 36.0% rate, which is 1.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.5% -0.5% 34%

Standard Grounder +0.6% +1.6% 7%

Hard Grounder +0.7% +0.6% 14%

Low Screamer +1.9% -2.7% 9%

Rising Liner -1.1% -1.2% 4%

Maybe Homer -0.9% +0.5% 3%

Likely Homer -0.4% +0.7% 1%

No Doubter -0.7% +1.1% 20%

Routine Flyout -1.4% +0.4% 3%

Pop up +0.8% -0.4%

20.4% of Jurickson Profar's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 3.9% lower than the league average. 28.0% of batted balls allowed by Yusei Kikuchi are hit at above 100 mph, which is 3.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +0.5% -2.3% 21%

75 to 86 mph +0.6% -1.5% 18%

87 to 93 mph +2.1% -1.0% 19%

94 to 99 mph +0.8% +1.0% 24%

Above 100 mph -3.9% +3.7%

12.3% of Jurickson Profar's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.8% higher than the league average. 12.7% of batted balls allowed by Yusei Kikuchi are hit at this angle, which is 1.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%