Matchup Machine

Jurickson Profar

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matchup for Martin Perez

389th out of 436 (Worst 11%)

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Martin Perez

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matchup for J. Profar

183rd out of 567 (Best 33%)

Extreme advantage for Profar
10

Model Prediction

Jurickson Profar has a 36.2% chance of reaching base vs Martin Perez, which is 1.5% higher than Profar's typical expectations, and 1.6% higher than batters facing Perez.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction36.2%24.7%3.3%5.6%15.8%11.5%13.5%
Profar+1.5+1.0+0.2-0.3+1.1+0.5-3.5
Perez+1.6-0.6+0.3+0.3-1.2+2.2-4.9

Handedness and Release Point

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Jurickson Profar is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Martin Perez is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Profar has a C grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Martin Perez throws a Sinker 34% of the time. Jurickson Profar has a B grade against left-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (L)
34%
   Changeup (L)
25%
   Cutter (L)
25%
   4-Seam (L)
8%
   Curve (L)
7%

Contact and Outcomes

9.9% of Jurickson Profar's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 7.9% lower than the league average. Martin Perez strikes out 11.9% of the batters he faces, which is 6.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 17%         Strikeout -7.9% -6.1% 3%         Walk +2.4% -0.3% 37%         In Play +5.5% +6.4% 39%         On Base +4.2% +5.9% 31%         Hit +1.8% +6.3% 14%         Single +0.5% +3.5% 13%         2B / 3B +1.0% +3.3% 3%         Home Run +0.3% -0.6%

History

No History in the last 3 years