Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Kevin Kiermaier

matchup for Chris Paddack

190th out of 436 (Best 44%)

Chris Paddack

matchup for Kevin Kiermaier

160th out of 567 (Best 29%)

Leans in favor of Kiermaier

Kevin Kiermaier has a 29.9% chance of reaching base vs Chris Paddack, which is 0.4% higher than Kiermaier's typical expectations, and 0.3% higher than batters facing Paddack.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	29.9%	24.9%	3.2%	5.8%	15.9%	5.1%	26.4%
Kiermaier	+0.4	+2.4	+0.7	+1.1	+0.6	-1.9	-1.2
Paddack	-0.3	+1.2	-0.1	+0.2	+1.1	-1.5	+4.1

Kevin Kiermaier is better vs right-handed pitching. Chris Paddack is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Kiermaier has a C grade vs this particular release point.

Chris Paddack throws a 4-seam fastball 56% of the time. Kevin Kiermaier has a D+ grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

56%

Changeup (R)

28%

Curve (R)

12%

14% of Chris Paddack's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Kevin Kiermaier has a B grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 14%

+3%

Strong Challenge 7%

+2%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Fringe Miss 14%

+1%

Chaser 7%

+1%

Meatball 6%

Weak Challenge 6%

-2%

Likely Ball 17%

-2%

Non-Competitive 10%

-3%

43% of Chris Paddack's pitches are classified as Large Break Toward Third Base, which is 22% higher than the MLB average. Kevin Kiermaier has a B grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Large Break 43%

+22%

High Ride 29%

+19%

Offspeed (R) 28%

+16%

Fast Velo 26%

+10%

17.3% of Kevin Kiermaier's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.6% higher than the league average. Chris Paddack strikes out 17.8% of the batters he faces, which is 4.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

12%

Strikeout +4.6% +4.3% 5%

Walk -2.6% -3.2% 40%

In Play -1.9% -1.1% 39%

On Base -2.9% -3.8% 31%

Hit -0.3% -0.6% 14%

Single +0.4% -0.5% 13%

2B / 3B +0.5% -0.1% 3%

Home Run -1.2% +0.0%

40.9% of Kevin Kiermaier's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 6.5% higher than the league average. Chris Paddack induces Standard Grounders at a 29.0% rate, which is 5.5% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.6% +1.0% 34%

Standard Grounder +6.5% -5.5% 7%

Hard Grounder +1.4% +1.6% 14%

Low Screamer +2.0% +0.1% 9%

Rising Liner -1.4% +1.6% 4%

Maybe Homer -0.3% +1.4% 3%

Likely Homer -0.9% -0.9% 1%

No Doubter -1.0% +0.0% 20%

Routine Flyout -6.8% +0.3% 3%

Pop up -0.2% +0.3%

23.4% of Kevin Kiermaier's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 0.9% lower than the league average. 30.1% of batted balls allowed by Chris Paddack are hit at above 100 mph, which is 5.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +2.9% -4.9% 21%

75 to 86 mph +1.7% +1.0% 18%

87 to 93 mph -3.1% -2.2% 19%

94 to 99 mph -0.7% +0.3% 24%

Above 100 mph -0.9% +5.8%

9.0% of Kevin Kiermaier's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 2.4% lower than the league average. 11.3% of batted balls allowed by Chris Paddack are hit at this angle, which is 0.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%