Matchup Machine

      Kevin Kiermaier

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      matchup for Ryan Feltner

      191st out of 436 (Best 45%)

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      Ryan Feltner

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      matchup for Kevin Kiermaier

      73rd out of 564 (Best 14%)

      Moderate advantage for Kiermaier
      5

      Model Prediction

      Kevin Kiermaier has a 32.9% chance of reaching base vs Ryan Feltner, which is 3.4% higher than Kiermaier's typical expectations, and 0.5% higher than batters facing Feltner.

      Handedness and Release Point

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      Kevin Kiermaier is better vs right-handed pitching. Ryan Feltner is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Kiermaier has a C- grade vs this particular release point.

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      On the Way to the Plate

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      Ryan Feltner throws a 4-seam fastball 36% of the time. Kevin Kiermaier has a D+ grade against right-handed 4-seamers

      Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
      36%
         Slider (R)
      27%
         Sinker (R)
      15%
         Changeup (R)
      12%
         Curve (R)
      10%

      Contact and Outcomes

      17.3% of Kevin Kiermaier's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.6% higher than the league average. Ryan Feltner strikes out 12.4% of the batters he faces, which is 5.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

      MLB Typical BP Label 12%         Strikeout +4.6% -5.1% 5%         Walk -2.6% 0.0% 40%         In Play -1.9% +5.1% 39%         On Base -2.9% +5.3% 31%         Hit -0.3% +5.3% 14%         Single +0.4% +2.5% 13%         2B / 3B +0.5% +2.7% 3%         Home Run -1.2% +0.1%

      History

      Kevin Kiermaier has 2 plate appearances against Ryan Feltner in the last 3 years. He is 2 for 2 with a double and

      PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
      Actual222011001.000
      Expected From Contact →1.270.000.870.400.634
      Expected From Contact
      Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
      2024-04-12Single29%71%
      2024-04-12Double87%11%2%

      Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.