Matchup Machine

Kevin Kiermaier

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matchup for Martin Perez

260th out of 436 (Worst 41%)

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Martin Perez

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matchup for Kevin Kiermaier

26th out of 567 (Best 5%)

Strong advantage for Kiermaier
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Model Prediction

Kevin Kiermaier has a 35.2% chance of reaching base vs Martin Perez, which is 5.7% higher than Kiermaier's typical expectations, and 0.6% higher than batters facing Perez.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction35.2%27.6%3.0%5.3%19.3%7.6%19.5%
Kiermaier+5.7+5.1+0.6+0.6+4.0+0.6-8.1
Perez+0.6+2.30.0-0.1+2.4-1.7+1.2

Handedness and Release Point

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Kevin Kiermaier is worse vs left-handed pitching. Martin Perez is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Kiermaier has a D grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Martin Perez throws a Sinker 34% of the time. Kevin Kiermaier has a D+ grade against left-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (L)
34%
   Changeup (L)
25%
   Cutter (L)
25%
   4-Seam (L)
8%
   Curve (L)
7%

Contact and Outcomes

17.3% of Kevin Kiermaier's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.6% higher than the league average. Martin Perez strikes out 11.9% of the batters he faces, which is 6.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 12%         Strikeout +4.6% -6.1% 5%         Walk -2.6% -0.3% 40%         In Play -1.9% +6.4% 39%         On Base -2.9% +5.9% 31%         Hit -0.3% +6.3% 14%         Single +0.4% +3.5% 13%         2B / 3B +0.5% +3.3% 3%         Home Run -1.2% -0.6%

History

No History in the last 3 years