Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Adam Duvall

matchup for Jared Jones

40th out of 436 (Best 10%)

Jared Jones

matchup for Adam Duvall

405th out of 567 (Worst 29%)

Strong advantage for Jones

Adam Duvall has a 25.5% chance of reaching base vs Jared Jones, which is 1.5% lower than Duvall's typical expectations, and 5.6% lower than batters facing Jones.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	25.5%	18.1%	4.0%	4.5%	9.6%	7.4%	39.6%
Duvall	-1.5	-2.0	+0.4	-0.8	-1.7	+0.5	+6.0
Jones	-5.6	-2.8	+1.0	-0.6	-3.2	-2.8	+11.0

Adam Duvall is worse vs right-handed pitching. Jared Jones is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Duvall has a D+ grade vs this particular release point.

Jared Jones throws a 4-seam fastball 49% of the time. Adam Duvall has a C grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

49%

Slider (R)

35%

Curve (R)

Changeup (R)

17% of Jared Jones's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 6% higher than the MLB average. Adam Duvall has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 17%

+6%

Strong Challenge 8%

+3%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Chaser 6%

Likely Ball 18%

-1%

Fringe Miss 11%

-1%

Non-Competitive 11%

-2%

Weak Challenge 6%

-2%

Meatball 3%

-4%

36% of Jared Jones's pitches are classified as Medium Break Toward Third Base, which is 16% higher than the MLB average. Adam Duvall has a B grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Break 36%

+16%

Extreme Fast Velo 18%

+15%

Breaking (R) 44%

+13%

High Ride 22%

+11%

18.8% of Adam Duvall's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 7.1% higher than the league average. Jared Jones strikes out 15.6% of the batters he faces, which is 0.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

11%

Strikeout +7.1% +0.4% 5%

Walk -2.3% +0.6% 42%

In Play -4.8% -1.1% 39%

On Base -9.7% -0.1% 31%

Hit -7.4% -0.8% 14%

Single -5.5% -1.1% 13%

2B / 3B -5.1% -0.5% 3%

Home Run +3.2% +0.9%

21.8% of Adam Duvall's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 12.7% lower than the league average. Jared Jones induces Standard Grounders at a 30.0% rate, which is 4.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.3% -0.2% 34%

Standard Grounder -12.7% -4.4% 7%

Hard Grounder -2.9% +0.4% 14%

Low Screamer +3.8% -2.4% 9%

Rising Liner -2.3% +1.0% 4%

Maybe Homer +0.4% +1.5% 3%

Likely Homer +3.2% -0.1% 1%

No Doubter +2.6% +0.2% 20%

Routine Flyout +4.9% +1.5% 3%

Pop up +3.1% +2.5%

25.9% of Adam Duvall's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 1.6% higher than the league average. 24.7% of batted balls allowed by Jared Jones are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +1.2% +1.4% 21%

75 to 86 mph +1.3% -4.2% 18%

87 to 93 mph -2.8% -2.8% 19%

94 to 99 mph -1.2% +5.2% 24%

Above 100 mph +1.6% +0.4%

18.4% of Adam Duvall's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 6.9% higher than the league average. 8.9% of batted balls allowed by Jared Jones are hit at this angle, which is 2.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%