matchup for Logan Gilbert
matchup for Adam Duvall
10
Adam Duvall has a 18.4% chance of reaching base vs Logan Gilbert, which is 8.6% lower than Duvall's typical expectations, and 6.3% lower than batters facing Gilbert.
| Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prediction | 18.4% | 14.9% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 8.3% | 3.5% | 48.8% |
| Duvall | -8.6 | -5.2 | -1.1 | -1.1 | -2.9 | -3.4 | +15.1 |
| Gilbert | -6.3 | -4.8 | +0.0 | -0.9 | -4.0 | -1.5 | +14.1 |
Adam Duvall is worse vs right-handed pitching. Logan Gilbert is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Duvall has a D+ grade vs this particular release point.
Logan Gilbert throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. Adam Duvall has a C grade against right-handed 4-seamers
Pitch Type
% of Arsenal
4-Seam (R)
44%
Slider (R)
29%
Kn-Curve (R)
9%
Splitter (R)
8%
15% of Logan Gilbert's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Adam Duvall has an A grade against this type of pitch.
Pitch Label
% vs MLB
Mid Challenge
15%
+3%
Weak Challenge
10%
+2%
Edge Painter
17%
+0%
Chaser
6%
0%
Strong Challenge
5%
0%
Fringe Miss
12%
0%
Likely Ball
19%
-1%
Meatball
5%
-2%
Non-Competitive
11%
-2%
35% of Logan Gilbert's pitches are classified as Medium Break Toward Third Base, which is 16% higher than the MLB average. Adam Duvall has a B grade against this type of pitch.
Physical Trait
% vs MLB
Medium Break
35%
+16%
Very Fast Velo
22%
+14%
High Ride
20%
+10%
Breaking (R)
41%
+10%
18.8% of Adam Duvall's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 7.1% higher than the league average. Logan Gilbert strikes out 18.1% of the batters he faces, which is 4.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.
11%
Strikeout
+7.1%
+4.3%
5%
Walk
-2.3%
-4.2%
42%
In Play
-4.8%
0.0%
39%
On Base
-9.7%
-7.3%
31%
Hit
-7.5%
-3.0%
14%
Single
-5.5%
-1.9%
13%
2B / 3B
-5.1%
-1.6%
3%
Home Run
+3.2%
+0.5%
21.8% of Adam Duvall's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 12.6% lower than the league average. Logan Gilbert induces Standard Grounders at a 31.7% rate, which is 2.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.
0%
Squib/Bunt
-0.3%
+0.7%
34%
Standard Grounder
-12.6%
-2.7%
7%
Hard Grounder
-2.9%
+1.9%
14%
Low Screamer
+3.8%
-1.7%
9%
Rising Liner
-2.3%
+1.0%
4%
Maybe Homer
+0.4%
-0.5%
3%
Likely Homer
+3.2%
+0.4%
1%
No Doubter
+2.6%
-0.3%
20%
Routine Flyout
+5.0%
+0.8%
3%
Pop up
+3.1%
+0.6%
25.8% of Adam Duvall's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 1.5% higher than the league average. 26.7% of batted balls allowed by Logan Gilbert are hit at above 100 mph, which is 2.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.
16%
Below 75 mph
+1.2%
-2.6%
21%
75 to 86 mph
+1.3%
-3.3%
18%
87 to 93 mph
-2.8%
+1.1%
19%
94 to 99 mph
-1.2%
+2.4%
24%
Above 100 mph
+1.5%
+2.4%
18.4% of Adam Duvall's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 6.9% higher than the league average. 9.0% of batted balls allowed by Logan Gilbert are hit at this angle, which is 2.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.
17%
Below -10°
-8.6%
-3.1%
12%
-10 to 0°
-3.5%
+2.1%
8%
1 to 6°
-3.5%
+1.7%
18%
7 to 18°
-5.2%
0.0%
15%
19 to 28°
+2.0%
-1.2%
11%
29 to 38°
+6.9%
-2.4%
7%
39 to 50°
+3.2%
+0.5%
8%
Above 50°
+8.8%
+2.4%
Adam Duvall has 3 plate appearances against Logan Gilbert in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 3 with a strikeout.
| PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 |
| Expected From Contact → | 0.64 | 0.58 | 0.03 | 0.04 | 0.215 | ||||
| Expected From Contact | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
| 2023-08-02 | Flyout | 99% | |||
| 2023-08-02 | Strikeout | ||||
| 2023-08-02 | Flyout | 58% | 2% | 3% | 36% |
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.
