Matchup Machine

      Adam Duvall

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      matchup for Jalen Beeks

      70th out of 436 (Best 17%)

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      Jalen Beeks

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      matchup for Adam Duvall

      156th out of 564 (Best 28%)

      Leans in favor of Beeks
      1

      Model Prediction

      Adam Duvall has a 28.3% chance of reaching base vs Jalen Beeks, which is 1.3% higher than Duvall's typical expectations, and 5.2% lower than batters facing Beeks.

      Handedness and Release Point

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      Adam Duvall is better vs left-handed pitching. Jalen Beeks is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Duvall has a B+ grade vs this particular release point.

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      On the Way to the Plate

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      Jalen Beeks throws a 4-seam fastball 47% of the time. Adam Duvall has an A grade against left-handed 4-seamers

      Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
      47%
         Changeup (L)
      34%
         Cutter (L)
      11%
         Curve (L)
      9%

      Contact and Outcomes

      18.8% of Adam Duvall's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 7.1% higher than the league average. Jalen Beeks strikes out 14.2% of the batters he faces, which is 2.5% lower than the typical MLB rate.

      MLB Typical BP Label 11%         Strikeout +7.1% -2.5% 5%         Walk -2.3% -0.1% 42%         In Play -4.8% +2.6% 39%         On Base -9.7% +0.4% 31%         Hit -7.4% +0.5% 14%         Single -5.5% +0.7% 13%         2B / 3B -5.1% +1.0% 3%         Home Run +3.2% -1.3%

      History

      No History in the last 3 years