Matchup Machine

Adam Duvall

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matchup for Chad Green

44th out of 436 (Best 11%)

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Chad Green

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matchup for Adam Duvall

451st out of 567 (Worst 21%)

Strong advantage for Green
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Model Prediction

Adam Duvall has a 22.3% chance of reaching base vs Chad Green, which is 4.7% lower than Duvall's typical expectations, and 4.5% lower than batters facing Green.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction22.3%17.6%4.3%4.3%9.0%4.7%35.8%
Duvall-4.7-2.5+0.8-1.0-2.3-2.2+2.2
Green-4.5-2.5+1.0-0.7-2.8-1.9+10.8

Handedness and Release Point

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Adam Duvall is worse vs right-handed pitching. Chad Green is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Duvall has a C grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Chad Green throws a 4-seam fastball 72% of the time. Adam Duvall has a C grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
72%
   Slider (R)
14%
   Curve (R)
11%

Contact and Outcomes

18.8% of Adam Duvall's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 7.1% higher than the league average. Chad Green strikes out 21.3% of the batters he faces, which is 9.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 11%         Strikeout +7.1% +9.3% 5%         Walk -2.3% -3.9% 42%         In Play -4.8% -5.4% 39%         On Base -9.7% -8.6% 31%         Hit -7.4% -4.7% 14%         Single -5.5% -2.2% 13%         2B / 3B -5.1% -2.9% 3%         Home Run +3.2% +0.3%

History

No History in the last 3 years