Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Adam Duvall

matchup for Tyler Glasnow

33rd out of 436 (Best 8%)

Tyler Glasnow

matchup for Adam Duvall

551st out of 564 (Worst 2%)

Extreme advantage for Glasnow

Adam Duvall has a 20.5% chance of reaching base vs Tyler Glasnow, which is 6.4% lower than Duvall's typical expectations, and 4.2% lower than batters facing Glasnow.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	20.5%	15.2%	2.9%	3.7%	8.7%	5.3%	43.0%
Duvall	-6.4	-4.9	-0.7	-1.6	-2.6	-1.6	+9.4
Glasnow	-4.2	-2.6	+0.8	-0.7	-2.7	-1.7	+11.7

Adam Duvall is worse vs right-handed pitching. Tyler Glasnow is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Duvall has a C grade vs this particular release point.

Tyler Glasnow throws a 4-seam fastball 55% of the time. Adam Duvall has a C grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

55%

Curve (R)

22%

Slider (R)

18%

15% of Tyler Glasnow's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 4% higher than the MLB average. Adam Duvall has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 15%

+4%

Strong Challenge 8%

+3%

Weak Challenge 9%

+1%

Likely Ball 20%

+0%

Edge Painter 17%

Fringe Miss 12%

-1%

Chaser 5%

-1%

Non-Competitive 11%

-1%

Meatball 2%

-4%

39% of Tyler Glasnow's pitches are classified as Minimal Break, which is 29% higher than the MLB average. Adam Duvall has a B grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Minimal Break 39%

+29%

Very Fast Velo 31%

+23%

Extreme Drop 23%

+18%

Breaking (R) 41%

+10%

18.8% of Adam Duvall's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 7.1% higher than the league average. Tyler Glasnow strikes out 21.0% of the batters he faces, which is 11.0% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

11%

Strikeout +7.1% +11.0% 5%

Walk -2.3% -0.8% 42%

In Play -4.8% -10.2% 39%

On Base -9.7% -6.6% 31%

Hit -7.4% -5.8% 14%

Single -5.5% -2.3% 13%

2B / 3B -5.1% -2.6% 3%

Home Run +3.2% -1.0%

21.8% of Adam Duvall's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 12.7% lower than the league average. Tyler Glasnow induces Standard Grounders at a 41.6% rate, which is 7.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.3% +1.0% 34%

Standard Grounder -12.7% +7.2% 7%

Hard Grounder -2.9% +0.5% 14%

Low Screamer +3.8% -3.6% 9%

Rising Liner -2.3% -2.2% 4%

Maybe Homer +0.4% -0.5% 3%

Likely Homer +3.2% -0.4% 1%

No Doubter +2.6% -0.9% 20%

Routine Flyout +4.9% -2.0% 3%

Pop up +3.1% +0.9%

25.9% of Adam Duvall's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 1.6% higher than the league average. 24.8% of batted balls allowed by Tyler Glasnow are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +1.2% -0.7% 21%

75 to 86 mph +1.3% -0.9% 18%

87 to 93 mph -2.8% -0.4% 19%

94 to 99 mph -1.2% +1.5% 24%

Above 100 mph +1.6% +0.5%

18.4% of Adam Duvall's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 6.9% higher than the league average. 12.2% of batted balls allowed by Tyler Glasnow are hit at this angle, which is 0.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -8.7% +7.3% 12%

-10 to 0° -3.5% +1.9% 8%

1 to 6° -3.6% +0.6% 18%

7 to 18° -5.2% -5.4% 15%

19 to 28° +2.0% -3.3% 11%

29 to 38° +6.9% +0.7% 7%

39 to 50° +3.2% -2.2% 8%

Above 50° +8.8% +0.4%

Adam Duvall has 2 plate appearances against Tyler Glasnow in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 2 with 2 strikeouts.

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	2	2	0	0	0	0	2	0	0.000
Expected From Contact →			0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00			0.000

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2023-09-06	Strikeout
2023-09-06	Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

Matchup Machine
Log In Subscribe

Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

Matchup Machine Log InSubscribe

Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

Matchup Machine
Log In Subscribe