Matchup Machine

Jorge Polanco

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matchup for Y. Yamamoto

372nd out of 436 (Worst 15%)

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Yoshinobu Yamamoto

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matchup for Jorge Polanco

389th out of 567 (Worst 32%)

Leans in favor of Polanco
1

Model Prediction

Jorge Polanco has a 32.4% chance of reaching base vs Yoshinobu Yamamoto, which is 0.2% higher than Polanco's typical expectations, and 3.2% higher than batters facing Yamamoto.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction32.4%21.7%3.0%3.6%15.1%10.7%29.8%
Polanco+0.2-0.2-0.4-1.0+1.2+0.4+3.2
Yamamoto+3.2+1.4+0.7-0.2+1.0+1.8+2.0

Handedness and Release Point

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Jorge Polanco is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Yoshinobu Yamamoto is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Polanco has an A- grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Yoshinobu Yamamoto throws a 4-seam fastball 41% of the time. Jorge Polanco has an A grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
41%
   Splitter (R)
24%
   Curve (R)
22%
   Cutter (R)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

17.3% of Jorge Polanco's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.5% higher than the league average. Yoshinobu Yamamoto strikes out 19.9% of the batters he faces, which is 3.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 12%         Strikeout +4.5% +3.3% 4%         Walk +0.9% -1.8% 42%         In Play -5.3% -1.4% 39%         On Base -0.9% +1.2% 31%         Hit -1.7% +3.1% 14%         Single -1.6% +1.0% 13%         2B / 3B -1.2% +1.6% 3%         Home Run +1.1% +0.5%

History

No History in the last 3 years