Matchup Machine

Jorge Polanco

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matchup for Bryce Miller

280th out of 436 (Worst 36%)

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Bryce Miller

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matchup for Jorge Polanco

481st out of 567 (Worst 15%)

Moderate advantage for Miller
3

Model Prediction

Jorge Polanco has a 30.5% chance of reaching base vs Bryce Miller, which is 1.8% lower than Polanco's typical expectations, and 1.3% higher than batters facing Miller.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction30.5%19.9%2.6%4.3%13.1%10.6%32.1%
Polanco-1.8-2.0-0.9-0.3-0.9+0.3+5.5
Miller+1.3-0.5+0.3-0.1-0.7+1.8+2.3

Handedness and Release Point

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Jorge Polanco is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Bryce Miller is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Polanco has an A- grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Bryce Miller throws a 4-seam fastball 49% of the time. Jorge Polanco has an A grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
49%
   Slider (R)
20%
   Sinker (R)
13%
   Splitter (R)
10%

Contact and Outcomes

17.3% of Jorge Polanco's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.5% higher than the league average. Bryce Miller strikes out 15.5% of the batters he faces, which is 0.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 12%         Strikeout +4.5% +0.2% 4%         Walk +0.9% -2.5% 42%         In Play -5.3% +2.3% 39%         On Base -0.9% -3.2% 31%         Hit -1.7% -0.7% 14%         Single -1.6% -0.8% 13%         2B / 3B -1.2% -0.4% 3%         Home Run +1.1% +0.5%

History

No History in the last 3 years