Matchup Machine

Jorge Polanco

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matchup for Ryan Weathers

242nd out of 436 (Worst 45%)

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Ryan Weathers

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matchup for Jorge Polanco

439th out of 567 (Worst 23%)

Leans in favor of Weathers
2

Model Prediction

Jorge Polanco has a 30.2% chance of reaching base vs Ryan Weathers, which is 2.1% lower than Polanco's typical expectations, and 0.3% higher than batters facing Weathers.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction30.2%21.2%2.6%4.5%14.0%8.9%26.2%
Polanco-2.1-0.7-0.80.0+0.1-1.4-0.5
Weathers+0.3-0.3+0.6-1.0+0.1+0.6+1.5

Handedness and Release Point

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Jorge Polanco is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Ryan Weathers is left handed with an extreme release toward the first base side. Polanco has a B+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Ryan Weathers throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. Jorge Polanco has a D+ grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
44%
   Slider (L)
25%
   Changeup (L)
18%
   Sinker (L)
13%

Contact and Outcomes

17.3% of Jorge Polanco's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.5% higher than the league average. Ryan Weathers strikes out 14.3% of the batters he faces, which is 2.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 12%         Strikeout +4.5% -2.1% 4%         Walk +0.9% -0.6% 42%         In Play -5.3% +2.7% 39%         On Base -0.9% +0.9% 31%         Hit -1.7% +1.5% 14%         Single -1.6% +0.9% 13%         2B / 3B -1.2% +1.2% 3%         Home Run +1.1% -0.5%

History

No History in the last 3 years