Matchup Machine

Jorge Polanco

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matchup for George Kirby

204th out of 436 (Best 48%)

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George Kirby

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matchup for Jorge Polanco

455th out of 567 (Worst 20%)

Leans in favor of Kirby
2

Model Prediction

Jorge Polanco has a 27.5% chance of reaching base vs George Kirby, which is 4.7% lower than Polanco's typical expectations, and 0.7% lower than batters facing Kirby.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction27.5%21.6%3.3%4.8%13.4%5.9%23.6%
Polanco-4.7-0.4-0.1+0.3-0.5-4.4-3.1
Kirby-0.7-1.1+0.6-0.3-1.4+0.4+2.8

Handedness and Release Point

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Jorge Polanco is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. George Kirby is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Polanco has a C grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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George Kirby throws a 4-seam fastball 40% of the time. Jorge Polanco has an A grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
40%
   Slider (R)
22%
   Sinker (R)
19%
   Curve (R)
8%
   Splitter (R)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

17.3% of Jorge Polanco's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.5% higher than the league average. George Kirby strikes out 15.6% of the batters he faces, which is 0.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 12%         Strikeout +4.5% +0.5% 4%         Walk +0.9% -5.1% 42%         In Play -5.3% +4.6% 39%         On Base -0.9% -3.9% 31%         Hit -1.7% +1.2% 14%         Single -1.6% +0.5% 13%         2B / 3B -1.2% +0.8% 3%         Home Run +1.1% -0.1%

History

No History in the last 3 years