Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Jorge Polanco

matchup for Elvis Peguero

361st out of 436 (Worst 17%)

Elvis Peguero

matchup for Jorge Polanco

123rd out of 567 (Best 23%)

Strong advantage for Polanco

Jorge Polanco has a 37.9% chance of reaching base vs Elvis Peguero, which is 5.7% higher than Polanco's typical expectations, and 2.9% higher than batters facing Peguero.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	37.9%	25.0%	2.1%	4.0%	18.9%	12.9%	22.2%
Polanco	+5.7	+3.1	-1.3	-0.5	+5.0	+2.6	-4.5
Peguero	+2.9	+0.7	+0.2	-0.2	+0.7	+2.2	+0.7

Jorge Polanco is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Elvis Peguero is right handed with an extreme release toward the third base side. Polanco has a C grade vs this particular release point.

Elvis Peguero throws a Slider 52% of the time. Jorge Polanco has a C- grade against right-handed Sliders

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Slider (R)

52%

Sinker (R)

48%

14% of Elvis Peguero's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 6% higher than the MLB average. Jorge Polanco has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 14%

+6%

Chaser 9%

+3%

Likely Ball 21%

+2%

Fringe Miss 13%

+1%

Edge Painter 17%

Strong Challenge 4%

-1%

Non-Competitive 11%

-2%

Mid Challenge 8%

-3%

Meatball 1%

-5%

41% of Elvis Peguero's pitches are classified as Small Drop, which is 28% higher than the MLB average. Jorge Polanco has a B+ grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Small Drop 41%

+28%

Extreme Break 41%

+27%

Breaking (R) 52%

+21%

Very Fast Velo 28%

+20%

17.3% of Jorge Polanco's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.5% higher than the league average. Elvis Peguero strikes out 12.1% of the batters he faces, which is 4.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

12%

Strikeout +4.5% -4.6% 4%

Walk +0.9% +2.1% 42%

In Play -5.3% +2.5% 39%

On Base -0.9% +4.9% 31%

Hit -1.7% +2.7% 14%

Single -1.6% +1.9% 13%

2B / 3B -1.2% +2.3% 3%

Home Run +1.1% -1.4%

28.7% of Jorge Polanco's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 5.7% lower than the league average. Elvis Peguero induces Standard Grounders at a 48.3% rate, which is 13.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt 0.0% -0.4% 34%

Standard Grounder -5.7% +13.9% 7%

Hard Grounder -2.0% +1.1% 14%

Low Screamer +1.9% -1.4% 9%

Rising Liner +0.2% -0.9% 4%

Maybe Homer 0.0% -1.6% 3%

Likely Homer -0.6% -2.1% 1%

No Doubter 0.0% -0.7% 20%

Routine Flyout +6.0% -5.9% 3%

Pop up +0.3% -2.0%

17.8% of Jorge Polanco's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 6.5% lower than the league average. 28.1% of batted balls allowed by Elvis Peguero are hit at above 100 mph, which is 3.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -0.4% -2.0% 21%

75 to 86 mph +3.2% +1.6% 18%

87 to 93 mph +3.6% +1.6% 19%

94 to 99 mph +0.1% -5.0% 24%

Above 100 mph -6.5% +3.8%

12.7% of Jorge Polanco's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.2% higher than the league average. 8.8% of batted balls allowed by Elvis Peguero are hit at this angle, which is 2.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -5.1% +11.3% 12%

-10 to 0° -1.7% +4.6% 8%

1 to 6° -2.0% -1.2% 18%

7 to 18° +0.9% -0.2% 15%

19 to 28° +0.6% -3.4% 11%

29 to 38° +1.2% -2.6% 7%

39 to 50° +2.6% -4.5% 8%

Above 50° +3.5% -4.1%

Jorge Polanco has 2 plate appearances against Elvis Peguero in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 2.

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	2	2	1	0	0	1	0	0	0.500
Expected From Contact →			0.75	0.00	0.01	0.74			0.374

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-04-05	Single		1%	65%	34%
2023-08-23	Groundout			9%	91%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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