Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Jorge Polanco

matchup for Griffin Canning

275th out of 436 (Worst 37%)

Griffin Canning

matchup for Jorge Polanco

218th out of 567 (Best 39%)

Moderate advantage for Polanco

Jorge Polanco has a 34.0% chance of reaching base vs Griffin Canning, which is 1.8% higher than Polanco's typical expectations, and 0.9% higher than batters facing Canning.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	34.0%	20.2%	3.3%	4.3%	12.6%	13.8%	23.8%
Polanco	+1.8	-1.7	-0.1	-0.3	-1.4	+3.5	-2.8
Canning	+0.9	-1.5	+0.5	-0.7	-1.4	+2.4	+2.3

Jorge Polanco is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Griffin Canning is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Polanco has an A- grade vs this particular release point.

Griffin Canning throws a 4-seam fastball 39% of the time. Jorge Polanco has an A grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

39%

Slider (R)

27%

Changeup (R)

21%

Curve (R)

11%

14% of Griffin Canning's pitches are classified as Non-Competitive, which is 1% higher than the MLB average. Jorge Polanco has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Non-Competitive 14%

+1%

Likely Ball 20%

+1%

Meatball 7%

+0%

Weak Challenge 8%

+0%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Mid Challenge 11%

Chaser 6%

Strong Challenge 5%

-1%

Edge Painter 17%

-1%

38% of Griffin Canning's pitches are classified as Medium Slow Velocity, which is 24% higher than the MLB average. Jorge Polanco has a C- grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Slow Velo 38%

+24%

Offspeed (R) 21%

+9%

Medium Break 28%

+9%

17.3% of Jorge Polanco's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.5% higher than the league average. Griffin Canning strikes out 14.3% of the batters he faces, which is 1.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

12%

Strikeout +4.5% -1.9% 4%

Walk +0.9% +0.3% 42%

In Play -5.3% +1.6% 39%

On Base -0.9% -0.8% 31%

Hit -1.7% -1.1% 14%

Single -1.6% -0.9% 13%

2B / 3B -1.2% -0.7% 3%

Home Run +1.1% +0.6%

28.7% of Jorge Polanco's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 5.7% lower than the league average. Griffin Canning induces Standard Grounders at a 31.2% rate, which is 3.2% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt 0.0% -0.3% 34%

Standard Grounder -5.7% -3.2% 7%

Hard Grounder -2.0% +1.2% 14%

Low Screamer +1.9% +0.6% 9%

Rising Liner +0.2% -0.2% 4%

Maybe Homer 0.0% -0.8% 3%

Likely Homer -0.6% +0.6% 1%

No Doubter 0.0% +0.6% 20%

Routine Flyout +6.0% +2.3% 3%

Pop up +0.3% -0.7%

17.8% of Jorge Polanco's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 6.5% lower than the league average. 25.9% of batted balls allowed by Griffin Canning are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -0.4% +0.3% 21%

75 to 86 mph +3.2% -2.3% 18%

87 to 93 mph +3.6% -0.8% 19%

94 to 99 mph +0.1% +1.2% 24%

Above 100 mph -6.5% +1.6%

12.7% of Jorge Polanco's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.2% higher than the league average. 12.5% of batted balls allowed by Griffin Canning are hit at this angle, which is 1.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -5.1% -1.2% 12%

-10 to 0° -1.7% -1.0% 8%

1 to 6° -2.0% 0.0% 18%

7 to 18° +0.9% -1.6% 15%

19 to 28° +0.6% -2.5% 11%

29 to 38° +1.2% +1.1% 7%

39 to 50° +2.6% +0.8% 8%

Above 50° +3.5% +4.4%

Jorge Polanco has 2 plate appearances against Griffin Canning in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 2 with a double and

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	2	2	1	0	1	0	1	0	0.500
Expected From Contact →			0.38	0.00	0.28	0.10			0.190

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-07-24	Double		28%	10%	62%
2024-07-24	Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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