Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Xander Bogaerts

matchup for Jared Jones

318th out of 436 (Worst 27%)

Jared Jones

matchup for Xander Bogaerts

382nd out of 567 (Worst 33%)

Moderate advantage for Bogaerts

Xander Bogaerts has a 32.9% chance of reaching base vs Jared Jones, which is 0.4% higher than Bogaerts's typical expectations, and 1.8% higher than batters facing Jones.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	32.9%	23.0%	2.5%	4.1%	16.4%	9.9%	23.2%
Bogaerts	-0.4	-2.0	+0.1	-0.4	-1.7	+1.5	+4.1
Jones	+1.8	+2.2	-0.4	-0.9	+3.5	-0.4	-5.3

Xander Bogaerts is slightly better vs right-handed pitching. Jared Jones is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Bogaerts has a B grade vs this particular release point.

Jared Jones throws a 4-seam fastball 49% of the time. Xander Bogaerts has a B grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

49%

Slider (R)

35%

Curve (R)

Changeup (R)

17% of Jared Jones's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 6% higher than the MLB average. Xander Bogaerts has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 17%

+6%

Strong Challenge 8%

+3%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Chaser 6%

Likely Ball 18%

-1%

Fringe Miss 11%

-1%

Non-Competitive 11%

-2%

Weak Challenge 6%

-2%

Meatball 3%

-4%

36% of Jared Jones's pitches are classified as Medium Break Toward Third Base, which is 16% higher than the MLB average. Xander Bogaerts has an A- grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Break 36%

+16%

Extreme Fast Velo 18%

+15%

Breaking (R) 44%

+13%

High Ride 22%

+11%

10.5% of Xander Bogaerts's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 6.9% lower than the league average. Jared Jones strikes out 15.6% of the batters he faces, which is 0.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Strikeout -6.9% +0.4% 5%

Walk -1.8% +0.6% 36%

In Play +8.7% -1.1% 39%

On Base +5.2% -0.1% 31%

Hit +7.0% -0.8% 14%

Single +3.5% -1.1% 13%

2B / 3B +3.6% -0.5% 3%

Home Run -0.2% +0.9%

37.1% of Xander Bogaerts's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 2.7% higher than the league average. Jared Jones induces Standard Grounders at a 30.0% rate, which is 4.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.4% -0.2% 34%

Standard Grounder +2.7% -4.4% 7%

Hard Grounder +0.8% +0.4% 14%

Low Screamer +1.3% -2.4% 9%

Rising Liner -0.3% +1.0% 4%

Maybe Homer -0.9% +1.5% 3%

Likely Homer -0.7% -0.1% 1%

No Doubter -0.3% +0.2% 20%

Routine Flyout -1.7% +1.5% 3%

Pop up -0.5% +2.5%

24.7% of Xander Bogaerts's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 0.4% higher than the league average. 24.7% of batted balls allowed by Jared Jones are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -1.2% +1.4% 21%

75 to 86 mph +1.9% -4.2% 18%

87 to 93 mph +0.4% -2.8% 19%

94 to 99 mph -1.4% +5.2% 24%

Above 100 mph +0.4% +0.4%

10.4% of Xander Bogaerts's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.0% lower than the league average. 8.9% of batted balls allowed by Jared Jones are hit at this angle, which is 2.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%