Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Xander Bogaerts

matchup for JP Sears

294th out of 436 (Worst 33%)

JP Sears

matchup for Xander Bogaerts

270th out of 567 (Best 48%)

Moderate advantage for Bogaerts

Xander Bogaerts has a 30.6% chance of reaching base vs JP Sears, which is 2.7% lower than Bogaerts's typical expectations, and 0.9% higher than batters facing Sears.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	30.6%	24.3%	3.2%	5.1%	16.0%	6.3%	14.6%
Bogaerts	-2.7	-0.6	+0.8	+0.6	-2.0	-2.0	-4.6
Sears	+0.9	+1.7	-0.4	-0.8	+3.0	-0.9	-3.8

Xander Bogaerts is a bit worse vs left-handed pitching. JP Sears is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Bogaerts has an A- grade vs this particular release point.

JP Sears throws a 4-seam fastball 43% of the time. Xander Bogaerts has a C- grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (L)

43%

Slider (L)

33%

Changeup (L)

17%

Sinker (L)

14% of JP Sears's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Xander Bogaerts has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 14%

+2%

Meatball 7%

+1%

Strong Challenge 6%

+1%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Chaser 6%

Likely Ball 19%

-1%

Non-Competitive 10%

-2%

Weak Challenge 6%

-2%

40% of JP Sears's pitches are classified as Large Break Toward Third Base, which is 18% higher than the MLB average. Xander Bogaerts has a B grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Large Break 40%

+18%

Medium Fast Velo 28%

+13%

Small Drop 23%

+10%

10.5% of Xander Bogaerts's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 6.9% lower than the league average. JP Sears strikes out 14.1% of the batters he faces, which is 2.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Strikeout -6.9% -2.6% 5%

Walk -1.8% -1.1% 36%

In Play +8.7% +3.7% 39%

On Base +5.2% -2.6% 31%

Hit +7.0% -1.5% 14%

Single +3.5% -1.6% 13%

2B / 3B +3.6% -1.1% 3%

Home Run -0.2% +1.2%

37.1% of Xander Bogaerts's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 2.7% higher than the league average. JP Sears induces Standard Grounders at a 25.3% rate, which is 9.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.4% -0.4% 34%

Standard Grounder +2.7% -9.1% 7%

Hard Grounder +0.8% +0.8% 14%

Low Screamer +1.3% -1.1% 9%

Rising Liner -0.3% -0.3% 4%

Maybe Homer -0.9% +3.0% 3%

Likely Homer -0.7% -0.7% 1%

No Doubter -0.3% +2.0% 20%

Routine Flyout -1.7% +2.1% 3%

Pop up -0.5% +3.7%

24.7% of Xander Bogaerts's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 0.4% higher than the league average. 26.9% of batted balls allowed by JP Sears are hit at above 100 mph, which is 2.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -1.2% +2.1% 21%

75 to 86 mph +1.9% -7.2% 18%

87 to 93 mph +0.4% +2.6% 19%

94 to 99 mph -1.4% -0.1% 24%

Above 100 mph +0.4% +2.6%

10.4% of Xander Bogaerts's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.0% lower than the league average. 15.8% of batted balls allowed by JP Sears are hit at this angle, which is 4.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%