matchup for Zack Littell
matchup for Xander Bogaerts
1
Xander Bogaerts has a 29.4% chance of reaching base vs Zack Littell, which is 4.5% lower than Bogaerts's typical expectations, and 1.9% higher than batters facing Littell.
| Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prediction | 29.4% | 23.2% | 2.4% | 4.8% | 16.1% | 6.2% | 19.2% |
| Bogaerts | -4.5 | -1.6 | +0.0 | +0.3 | -1.9 | -2.8 | +0.3 |
| Littell | +1.9 | +1.5 | -0.5 | -0.5 | +2.5 | +0.3 | -4.3 |
Xander Bogaerts is slightly better vs right-handed pitching. Zack Littell is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Bogaerts has a B grade vs this particular release point.
Zack Littell throws a Slider 38% of the time. Xander Bogaerts has an A- grade against right-handed Sliders
Pitch Type
% of Arsenal
Slider (R)
38%
4-Seam (R)
37%
Splitter (R)
15%
Sinker (R)
8%
8% of Zack Littell's pitches are classified as Meatballs, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Xander Bogaerts has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.
Pitch Label
% vs MLB
Meatball
8%
+2%
Mid Challenge
13%
+2%
Fringe Miss
14%
+1%
Edge Painter
18%
+1%
Chaser
7%
+0%
Weak Challenge
8%
+0%
Strong Challenge
4%
-1%
Likely Ball
18%
-2%
Non-Competitive
10%
-3%
38% of Zack Littell's pitches are classified as Medium Break Toward Third Base, which is 19% higher than the MLB average. Xander Bogaerts has an A- grade against this type of pitch.
Physical Trait
% vs MLB
Medium Break
38%
+19%
Just Gravity
26%
+12%
Breaking (R)
39%
+8%
10.5% of Xander Bogaerts's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 6.8% lower than the league average. Zack Littell strikes out 15.0% of the batters he faces, which is 0.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.
17%
Strikeout
-6.8%
-0.6%
5%
Walk
-1.5%
-3.4%
36%
In Play
+8.3%
+4.0%
39%
On Base
+5.1%
-1.9%
31%
Hit
+6.6%
+1.5%
14%
Single
+3.3%
+0.4%
13%
2B / 3B
+3.4%
+0.5%
3%
Home Run
-0.2%
+0.6%
37.1% of Xander Bogaerts's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 2.7% higher than the league average. Zack Littell induces Standard Grounders at a 29.5% rate, which is 5.0% lower than the typical MLB rate.
0%
Squib/Bunt
-0.4%
+0.2%
34%
Standard Grounder
+2.7%
-5.0%
7%
Hard Grounder
+0.8%
-1.2%
14%
Low Screamer
+1.3%
+0.1%
9%
Rising Liner
-0.3%
+1.1%
4%
Maybe Homer
-0.8%
+2.5%
3%
Likely Homer
-0.7%
+0.3%
1%
No Doubter
-0.3%
-0.5%
20%
Routine Flyout
-1.7%
+0.3%
3%
Pop up
-0.5%
+2.2%
24.6% of Xander Bogaerts's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 0.3% higher than the league average. 28.0% of batted balls allowed by Zack Littell are hit at above 100 mph, which is 3.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.
16%
Below 75 mph
-1.2%
-0.9%
21%
75 to 86 mph
+1.9%
+0.9%
18%
87 to 93 mph
+0.4%
-0.5%
19%
94 to 99 mph
-1.4%
-3.2%
24%
Above 100 mph
+0.3%
+3.7%
10.5% of Xander Bogaerts's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.0% lower than the league average. 13.0% of batted balls allowed by Zack Littell are hit at this angle, which is 1.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.
17%
Below -10°
+2.7%
-3.8%
12%
-10 to 0°
-0.3%
-0.9%
8%
1 to 6°
+1.7%
-1.5%
18%
7 to 18°
-1.0%
+1.1%
15%
19 to 28°
-2.0%
-1.5%
11%
29 to 38°
-1.0%
+1.5%
7%
39 to 50°
-0.5%
+0.5%
8%
Above 50°
+0.2%
+4.6%
Xander Bogaerts has 2 plate appearances against Zack Littell in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 2 with a double and
| PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 |
| Expected From Contact → | 1.04 | 0.00 | 0.24 | 0.80 | 0.520 | ||||
| Expected From Contact | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
| 2023-06-17 | Groundout | 11% | 89% | ||
| 2023-06-16 | Double | 24% | 69% | 7% | |
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.
