Matchup Machine

Whit Merrifield

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matchup for Andrew Wantz

278th out of 436 (Worst 36%)

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Andrew Wantz

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matchup for Whit Merrifield

out of 567 (Worst %)

Moderate advantage for Merrifield
4

Model Prediction

Whit Merrifield has a 33.6% chance of reaching base vs Andrew Wantz, which is 0.3% higher than Merrifield's typical expectations, and 1.8% higher than batters facing Wantz.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction33.6%20.6%2.1%4.3%14.2%13.0%20.3%
Merrifield-0.3-4.0+0.1-0.8-3.2+3.6+1.5
Wantz+1.8+0.3-1.1-0.1+1.6+1.5-4.6

Handedness and Release Point

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Whit Merrifield is worse vs right-handed pitching. Andrew Wantz is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Merrifield has a C grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Andrew Wantz throws a 4-seam fastball 45% of the time. Whit Merrifield has a C grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
45%
   Slider (R)
25%
   Cutter (R)
24%
   Changeup (R)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

10.0% of Whit Merrifield's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 7.7% lower than the league average. Andrew Wantz strikes out 20.2% of the batters he faces, which is 7.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 17%         Strikeout -7.7% +7.5% 4%         Walk +1.6% +2.0% 37%         In Play +6.1% -9.5% 39%         On Base +2.5% -6.5% 31%         Hit +0.9% -8.5% 14%         Single +1.4% -4.3% 13%         2B / 3B +1.3% -3.9% 3%         Home Run -1.8% -0.3%

History

Whit Merrifield has 4 plate appearances against Andrew Wantz in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 4 with a strikeout.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual440000100.000
Expected From Contact →0.150.000.010.150.038
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2023-04-09Field Error
2023-04-07Flyout1%98%
2022-08-26Forceout13%86%
2022-06-21Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.