Matchup Machine

Whit Merrifield

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matchup for Ryan Weathers

335th out of 436 (Worst 23%)

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Ryan Weathers

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matchup for Whit Merrifield

426th out of 567 (Worst 25%)

Leans in favor of Merrifield
2

Model Prediction

Whit Merrifield has a 30.7% chance of reaching base vs Ryan Weathers, which is 3.3% lower than Merrifield's typical expectations, and 0.8% higher than batters facing Weathers.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction30.7%22.8%1.8%6.1%14.9%7.9%17.0%
Merrifield-3.3-1.8-0.3+1.0-2.5-1.5-1.8
Weathers+0.8+1.2-0.3+0.5+1.0-0.4-7.8

Handedness and Release Point

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Whit Merrifield is better vs left-handed pitching. Ryan Weathers is left handed with an extreme release toward the first base side. Merrifield has a B+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Ryan Weathers throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. Whit Merrifield has a B+ grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
44%
   Slider (L)
25%
   Changeup (L)
18%
   Sinker (L)
13%

Contact and Outcomes

10.0% of Whit Merrifield's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 7.7% lower than the league average. Ryan Weathers strikes out 14.3% of the batters he faces, which is 2.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 17%         Strikeout -7.7% -2.1% 4%         Walk +1.6% -0.6% 37%         In Play +6.1% +2.7% 39%         On Base +2.5% +0.9% 31%         Hit +0.9% +1.5% 14%         Single +1.4% +0.9% 13%         2B / 3B +1.3% +1.2% 3%         Home Run -1.8% -0.5%

History

No History in the last 3 years