Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Whit Merrifield

matchup for Seth Lugo

317th out of 436 (Worst 28%)

Seth Lugo

matchup for Whit Merrifield

282nd out of 564 (Best 51%)

Strong advantage for Merrifield

Whit Merrifield has a 34.6% chance of reaching base vs Seth Lugo, which is 0.6% higher than Merrifield's typical expectations, and 2.1% higher than batters facing Lugo.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	34.6%	26.8%	2.3%	4.8%	19.8%	7.8%	20.2%
Merrifield	+0.6	+2.3	+0.2	-0.3	+2.3	-1.6	+1.5
Lugo	+2.1	+2.9	-0.8	-0.1	+3.9	-0.8	-4.6

Whit Merrifield is worse vs right-handed pitching. Seth Lugo is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Merrifield has a C grade vs this particular release point.

Seth Lugo throws a 4-seam fastball 29% of the time. Whit Merrifield has a C grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

29%

Curve (R)

28%

Sinker (R)

17%

Slider (R)

13%

Changeup (R)

10% of Seth Lugo's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Whit Merrifield has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 10%

+2%

Mid Challenge 12%

+1%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Strong Challenge 6%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Chaser 6%

Non-Competitive 12%

-1%

Meatball 5%

-1%

Likely Ball 18%

-1%

25% of Seth Lugo's pitches are classified as Extreme Drop, which is 20% higher than the MLB average. Whit Merrifield has a B grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Extreme Drop 25%

+20%

Large Break 18%

+13%

Extreme Slow Velo 16%

+11%

Breaking (R) 41%

+10%

10.0% of Whit Merrifield's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 7.7% lower than the league average. Seth Lugo strikes out 16.5% of the batters he faces, which is 0.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Strikeout -7.7% +0.8% 4%

Walk +1.6% -2.3% 37%

In Play +6.1% +1.4% 39%

On Base +2.5% -0.4% 31%

Hit +0.9% +1.9% 14%

Single +1.4% +0.7% 13%

2B / 3B +1.3% +1.1% 3%

Home Run -1.8% +0.1%

35.9% of Whit Merrifield's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 1.5% higher than the league average. Seth Lugo induces Standard Grounders at a 36.3% rate, which is 1.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.4% +1.4% 34%

Standard Grounder +1.5% +1.9% 7%

Hard Grounder -2.7% -1.6% 14%

Low Screamer +1.2% +0.5% 9%

Rising Liner -0.7% -1.0% 4%

Maybe Homer -1.1% -0.5% 3%

Likely Homer -1.5% +2.1% 1%

No Doubter -0.8% -0.5% 20%

Routine Flyout +5.4% -0.1% 3%

Pop up -0.9% -2.2%

10.9% of Whit Merrifield's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 13.4% lower than the league average. 22.7% of batted balls allowed by Seth Lugo are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +2.5% +1.3% 21%

75 to 86 mph +2.6% +0.9% 18%

87 to 93 mph +6.5% -1.4% 19%

94 to 99 mph +1.9% +0.8% 24%

Above 100 mph -13.4% -1.6%

12.3% of Whit Merrifield's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.9% higher than the league average. 14.0% of batted balls allowed by Seth Lugo are hit at this angle, which is 2.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%