Matchup Machine

Whit Merrifield

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matchup for Austin Gomber

333rd out of 436 (Worst 24%)

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Austin Gomber

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matchup for Whit Merrifield

138th out of 567 (Best 25%)

Strong advantage for Merrifield
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Model Prediction

Whit Merrifield has a 33.2% chance of reaching base vs Austin Gomber, which is 0.7% lower than Merrifield's typical expectations, and 1.5% higher than batters facing Gomber.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction33.2%28.3%2.7%7.1%18.6%4.9%13.8%
Merrifield-0.7+3.8+0.6+2.0+1.1-4.5-4.9
Gomber+1.5+2.4-0.6+0.4+2.7-0.9-4.0

Handedness and Release Point

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Whit Merrifield is better vs left-handed pitching. Austin Gomber is left handed with a horizontal release toward the first base side. Merrifield has an A- grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Austin Gomber throws a 4-seam fastball 42% of the time. Whit Merrifield has a B+ grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
42%
   Slider (L)
21%
   Kn-Curve (L)
18%
   Changeup (L)
18%

Contact and Outcomes

10.0% of Whit Merrifield's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 7.7% lower than the league average. Austin Gomber strikes out 13.7% of the batters he faces, which is 3.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 17%         Strikeout -7.7% -3.3% 4%         Walk +1.6% -2.5% 37%         In Play +6.1% +5.9% 39%         On Base +2.5% +0.6% 31%         Hit +0.9% +3.1% 14%         Single +1.4% +1.2% 13%         2B / 3B +1.3% +1.6% 3%         Home Run -1.8% +0.3%

History

Whit Merrifield has 3 plate appearances against Austin Gomber in the last 3 years. He is 2 for 3 with a home run and

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual332101000.667
Expected From Contact →1.450.920.070.450.482
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2022-05-15Single2%42%56%
2022-05-15Home Run92%5%2%
2022-05-15Flyout98%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.