Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Christian Yelich

matchup for Jared Jones

381st out of 436 (Worst 13%)

Jared Jones

matchup for C. Yelich

319th out of 567 (Worst 44%)

Strong advantage for Yelich

Christian Yelich has a 36.9% chance of reaching base vs Jared Jones, which is 0.8% higher than Yelich's typical expectations, and 5.8% higher than batters facing Jones.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	36.9%	20.4%	2.4%	4.5%	13.6%	16.5%	26.9%
Yelich	+0.8	-2.0	+0.1	-0.3	-1.7	+2.7	+3.7
Jones	+5.8	-0.4	-0.6	-0.5	+0.7	+6.2	-1.7

Christian Yelich is better vs right-handed pitching. Jared Jones is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Yelich has a B grade vs this particular release point.

Jared Jones throws a 4-seam fastball 49% of the time. Christian Yelich has a B grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

49%

Slider (R)

35%

Curve (R)

Changeup (R)

17% of Jared Jones's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 6% higher than the MLB average. Christian Yelich has an A- grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 17%

+6%

Strong Challenge 8%

+3%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Chaser 6%

Likely Ball 18%

-1%

Fringe Miss 11%

-1%

Non-Competitive 11%

-2%

Weak Challenge 6%

-2%

Meatball 3%

-4%

36% of Jared Jones's pitches are classified as Medium Break Toward Third Base, which is 16% higher than the MLB average. Christian Yelich has a B+ grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Break 36%

+16%

Extreme Fast Velo 18%

+15%

Breaking (R) 44%

+13%

High Ride 22%

+11%

12.4% of Christian Yelich's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.8% lower than the league average. Jared Jones strikes out 15.6% of the batters he faces, which is 0.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Strikeout -3.8% +0.4% 2%

Walk +5.2% +0.6% 40%

In Play -1.4% -1.1% 39%

On Base +8.6% -0.1% 31%

Hit +3.5% -0.8% 14%

Single +1.6% -1.1% 13%

2B / 3B +2.0% -0.5% 3%

Home Run -0.2% +0.9%

41.9% of Christian Yelich's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 7.5% higher than the league average. Jared Jones induces Standard Grounders at a 30.0% rate, which is 4.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.4% -0.2% 34%

Standard Grounder +7.5% -4.4% 7%

Hard Grounder +3.7% +0.4% 14%

Low Screamer -4.1% -2.4% 9%

Rising Liner -0.2% +1.0% 4%

Maybe Homer +0.6% +1.5% 3%

Likely Homer +1.4% -0.1% 1%

No Doubter +0.2% +0.2% 20%

Routine Flyout -6.1% +1.5% 3%

Pop up -2.5% +2.5%

38.9% of Christian Yelich's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 14.6% higher than the league average. 24.7% of batted balls allowed by Jared Jones are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -4.5% +1.4% 21%

75 to 86 mph -3.4% -4.2% 18%

87 to 93 mph -4.7% -2.8% 19%

94 to 99 mph -2.0% +5.2% 24%

Above 100 mph +14.6% +0.4%

9.2% of Christian Yelich's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 2.2% lower than the league average. 8.9% of batted balls allowed by Jared Jones are hit at this angle, which is 2.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%