Matchup Machine

      Christian Yelich

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      matchup for Andrew Abbott

      363rd out of 436 (Worst 17%)

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      Andrew Abbott

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      matchup for C. Yelich

      263rd out of 564 (Best 47%)

      Strong advantage for Yelich
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      Model Prediction

      Christian Yelich has a 36.1% chance of reaching base vs Andrew Abbott, which is 0.5% higher than Yelich's typical expectations, and 4.1% higher than batters facing Abbott.

      Handedness and Release Point

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      Christian Yelich is worse vs left-handed pitching. Andrew Abbott is left handed with a moderate release toward the first base side. Yelich has a D+ grade vs this particular release point.

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      On the Way to the Plate

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      Andrew Abbott throws a 4-seam fastball 52% of the time. Christian Yelich has an A grade against left-handed 4-seamers

      Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
      52%
         Slider (L)
      18%
         Changeup (L)
      16%
         Curve (L)
      14%

      Contact and Outcomes

      12.4% of Christian Yelich's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.7% lower than the league average. Andrew Abbott strikes out 13.7% of the batters he faces, which is 1.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

      MLB Typical BP Label 16%         Strikeout -3.7% -1.7% 2%         Walk +5.0% +0.9% 40%         In Play -1.3% +0.8% 39%         On Base +8.1% -1.6% 31%         Hit +3.1% -2.4% 14%         Single +1.4% -1.5% 13%         2B / 3B +1.9% -1.1% 3%         Home Run -0.2% +0.2%

      History

      Christian Yelich has 15 plate appearances against Andrew Abbott in the last 3 years. He is 5 for 15 with a home run and

      PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
      Actual15155104600.333
      Expected From Contact →2.930.360.172.400.195
      Expected From Contact
      Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
      2024-06-15Strikeout
      2024-06-15Single60%40%
      2024-06-15Single6%3%92%
      2023-07-25Groundout50%50%
      2023-07-25Single2%97%
      2023-07-25Single1%77%22%
      2023-07-15Home Run36%9%55%
      2023-07-15Strikeout
      2023-07-15Groundout15%85%
      2023-07-07Strikeout
      2023-07-07Groundout9%91%
      2023-07-07Strikeout
      2023-06-05Groundout24%76%
      2023-06-05Strikeout
      2023-06-05Strikeout

      Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.