Matchup Machine

Christian Yelich

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matchup for Clarke Schmidt

317th out of 436 (Worst 28%)

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Clarke Schmidt

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matchup for C. Yelich

446th out of 567 (Worst 22%)

Moderate advantage for Yelich
3

Model Prediction

Christian Yelich has a 34.7% chance of reaching base vs Clarke Schmidt, which is 1.4% lower than Yelich's typical expectations, and 2.8% higher than batters facing Schmidt.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction34.7%18.6%1.7%4.4%12.5%16.1%25.0%
Yelich-1.4-3.8-0.6-0.4-2.8+2.4+1.8
Schmidt+2.8-1.0-0.7+0.4-0.7+3.8+0.0

Handedness and Release Point

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Christian Yelich is better vs right-handed pitching. Clarke Schmidt is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Yelich has a B grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Clarke Schmidt throws a Slider 28% of the time. Christian Yelich has a C grade against right-handed Sliders

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Slider (R)
28%
   Cutter (R)
24%
   Sinker (R)
23%
   Kn-Curve (R)
19%

Contact and Outcomes

12.4% of Christian Yelich's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.8% lower than the league average. Clarke Schmidt strikes out 15.8% of the batters he faces, which is 0.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 16%         Strikeout -3.8% +0.3% 2%         Walk +5.2% +1.6% 40%         In Play -1.4% -1.9% 39%         On Base +8.6% -0.3% 31%         Hit +3.5% -2.0% 14%         Single +1.6% -1.1% 13%         2B / 3B +2.0% -0.8% 3%         Home Run -0.2% 0.0%

History

Christian Yelich has 1 plate appearance against Clarke Schmidt in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 1 with a strikeout.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual110000100.000
Expected From Contact →0.000.000.000.000.000
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2022-09-18Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.