Matchup Machine

Christian Yelich

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matchup for Chris Bassitt

378th out of 436 (Worst 14%)

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Chris Bassitt

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matchup for C. Yelich

157th out of 567 (Best 29%)

Extreme advantage for Yelich
9

Model Prediction

Christian Yelich has a 39.3% chance of reaching base vs Chris Bassitt, which is 3.1% higher than Yelich's typical expectations, and 4.0% higher than batters facing Bassitt.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction39.3%23.6%2.2%5.0%16.4%15.6%22.4%
Yelich+3.1+1.3-0.1+0.2+1.1+1.9-0.8
Bassitt+4.0-0.6-0.1-0.1-0.4+4.7-1.0

Handedness and Release Point

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Christian Yelich is better vs right-handed pitching. Chris Bassitt is right handed with an extreme release toward the third base side. Yelich has a B grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Chris Bassitt throws a Sinker 38% of the time. Christian Yelich has an A grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (R)
38%
   Cutter (R)
17%
   Slider (R)
14%
   Curve (R)
13%
   4-Seam (R)
10%
   Changeup (R)
7%

Contact and Outcomes

12.4% of Christian Yelich's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.8% lower than the league average. Chris Bassitt strikes out 15.3% of the batters he faces, which is 0.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 16%         Strikeout -3.8% -0.4% 2%         Walk +5.2% +0.1% 40%         In Play -1.4% +0.3% 39%         On Base +8.6% +1.5% 31%         Hit +3.5% +1.4% 14%         Single +1.6% +0.8% 13%         2B / 3B +2.0% +1.0% 3%         Home Run -0.2% -0.4%

History

Christian Yelich has 6 plate appearances against Chris Bassitt in the last 3 years. He is 2 for 5 with a walk

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual652002310.400
Expected From Contact →1.260.000.021.250.253
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-06-12Walk
2024-06-12Strikeout
2024-06-12Single59%40%
2022-06-14Strikeout
2022-06-14Single66%34%
2022-06-14Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.