Matchup Machine

Christian Yelich

Best 39% of matchups for Austin Gomber

Austin Gomber

Best 49% of matchups for C. Yelich

Moderate advantage for Yelich

Model Prediction
Prediction	3.1%	4.1%	14.9%	7.9%	22.0%
MLB (+/-)	+0.3	-0.2	+0.9	-1.8	-3.2
Yelich	+0.2	-0.2	+1.9	-2.8	-5.6
Gomber	-0.1	-0.3	-1.4	+0.1	+5.7

Model Prediction

2B / 3B

Prediction

3.1%

4.1%

14.9%

7.9%

22.0%

MLB (+/-)

+0.3

-0.2

+0.9

-1.8

-3.2

Yelich

+0.2

-0.2

+1.9

-2.8

-5.6

Gomber

-0.1

-0.3

-1.4

+0.1

+5.7

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

History (Last 3 Years)
	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	4	4	1	0	0	1	1	0	.250
Expected From Contact →			1.03	0.00	0.08	0.94			.256

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2022-09-06	Strikeout
2022-07-24	Groundout			12%	88%
2022-07-24	Groundout			9%	91%
2021-06-19	Single		8%	73%	18%
2020-09-27	Walk
2020-09-27	Single		5%	82%	14%

	Swing	Grade	Handedness	Grade	Freq
	53%	26	LHB vs LHP	22	20%

Swing

Grade

Handedness

Grade

Freq

53%

LHB vs LHP

20%

	Swing	Grade	Pitch Type	Grade	Freq
⭐⭐	45%	81	Fastball	16	45%
	28%	35	Breaking	-26	37%
	12%	55	Offspeed	0	18%
			------------------
⭐	45%	75	Four-Seam FB	-3	44%
	49%	31	Slider	-6	20%
	52%	57	Changeup	0	18%
	66%	13	Knuckle-Curve	-94	17%

Swing

Grade

Pitch Type

Grade

Freq

⭐⭐

45%

Fastball

45%

28%

Breaking

-26

37%

12%

Offspeed

18%

------------------

⭐

45%

Four-Seam FB

-3

44%

49%

Slider

-6

20%

52%

Changeup

18%

66%

Knuckle-Curve

-94

17%

	Swing	Grade	Location (in zone)	Grade	Freq
	63%	16	Away / Glove Side	38	17%
⭐	72%	65	Bottom of zone	13	13%
	69%	37	Top of zone	-3	12%
	78%	33	Middle	45	7%
	84%	80	In / Arm Side	52	5%

Swing

Grade

Location (in zone)

Grade

Freq

63%

Away / Glove Side

17%

⭐

72%

Bottom of zone

13%

69%

Top of zone

-3

12%

78%

Middle

84%

In / Arm Side

Swing	Grade	Location (out of zone)	Grade	Freq
32%	23	Away / Glove Side	41	34%
41%	46	Below the zone	22	30%
29%	53	Above the zone	8	24%
42%	36	In / Arm Side	19	10%

Swing

Grade

Location (out of zone)

Grade

Freq

32%

Away / Glove Side

34%

41%

Below the zone

30%

29%

Above the zone

24%

42%

In / Arm Side

10%

	Swing	Grade	Count	Grade	Freq
⭐	29%	70	First Pitch	10	28%
	54%	49	Batter Behind	0	28%
⭐⭐	52%	92	Batter Ahead	4	26%
	62%	15	2 Strikes	-23	26%
	55%	48	3 Balls	2	8%
⭐	64%	60	Full Count	-9	4%

Swing

Grade

Count

Grade

Freq

⭐

29%

First Pitch

28%

54%

Batter Behind

28%

⭐⭐

52%

Batter Ahead

26%

62%

2 Strikes

-23

26%

55%

3 Balls

⭐

64%

Full Count

-9