Matchup Machine

Eddie Rosario

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matchup for Tanner Bibee

78th out of 436 (Best 19%)

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Tanner Bibee

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matchup for Eddie Rosario

364th out of 567 (Worst 36%)

Moderate advantage for Bibee
5

Model Prediction

Eddie Rosario has a 27.4% chance of reaching base vs Tanner Bibee, which is 0.8% lower than Rosario's typical expectations, and 3.7% lower than batters facing Bibee.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction27.4%21.8%2.3%5.3%14.2%5.6%28.2%
Rosario-0.8+0.20.0-0.2+0.4-1.0+1.6
Bibee-3.7-0.2-0.5+0.2+0.1-3.5+3.0

Handedness and Release Point

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Eddie Rosario is better vs right-handed pitching. Tanner Bibee is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Rosario has an A- grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Tanner Bibee throws a 4-seam fastball 45% of the time. Eddie Rosario has a C grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
45%
   Slider (R)
27%
   Changeup (R)
17%
   Curve (R)
9%

Contact and Outcomes

14.2% of Eddie Rosario's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.7% lower than the league average. Tanner Bibee strikes out 17.7% of the batters he faces, which is 2.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 14%         Strikeout -0.7% +2.8% 5%         Walk -2.7% -1.3% 38%         In Play +3.4% -1.5% 39%         On Base -6.0% -1.1% 31%         Hit -3.3% +0.2% 14%         Single -1.9% -0.3% 13%         2B / 3B -1.4% +0.2% 3%         Home Run +0.0% +0.2%

History

Eddie Rosario has 3 plate appearances against Tanner Bibee in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 3 with a double and

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual331010200.333
Expected From Contact →0.960.000.830.130.320
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-05-31Strikeout
2024-05-31Strikeout
2024-05-31Double83%13%4%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.