Matchup Machine

Eddie Rosario

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matchup for Tarik Skubal

77th out of 436 (Best 18%)

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Tarik Skubal

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matchup for Eddie Rosario

541st out of 567 (Worst 5%)

Extreme advantage for Skubal
9

Model Prediction

Eddie Rosario has a 22.8% chance of reaching base vs Tarik Skubal, which is 5.4% lower than Rosario's typical expectations, and 2.5% lower than batters facing Skubal.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction22.8%18.4%1.7%3.6%13.1%4.4%32.7%
Rosario-5.4-3.2-0.6-1.9-0.7-2.1+6.2
Skubal-2.5-1.6-0.5-0.5-0.6-0.9+3.0

Handedness and Release Point

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Eddie Rosario is worse vs left-handed pitching. Tarik Skubal is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Rosario has a C grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Tarik Skubal throws a 4-seam fastball 37% of the time. Eddie Rosario has a C grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
37%
   Slider (L)
21%
   Changeup (L)
20%
   Sinker (L)
16%
   Kn-Curve (L)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

14.2% of Eddie Rosario's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.7% lower than the league average. Tarik Skubal strikes out 20.2% of the batters he faces, which is 6.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 14%         Strikeout -0.7% +6.3% 5%         Walk -2.7% -3.3% 38%         In Play +3.4% -3.0% 39%         On Base -6.0% -5.6% 31%         Hit -3.3% -2.3% 14%         Single -1.9% -1.3% 13%         2B / 3B -1.4% -1.0% 3%         Home Run +0.0% 0.0%

History

No History in the last 3 years