Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Eddie Rosario

matchup for Logan Gilbert

171st out of 436 (Best 40%)

Logan Gilbert

matchup for Eddie Rosario

524th out of 567 (Worst 8%)

Extreme advantage for Gilbert

Eddie Rosario has a 22.8% chance of reaching base vs Logan Gilbert, which is 5.3% lower than Rosario's typical expectations, and 1.9% lower than batters facing Gilbert.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	22.8%	19.2%	2.2%	5.7%	11.3%	3.6%	36.9%
Rosario	-5.3	-2.4	-0.2	+0.2	-2.5	-2.9	+10.3
Gilbert	-1.9	-0.5	-0.3	+0.7	-1.0	-1.4	+2.3

Eddie Rosario is better vs right-handed pitching. Logan Gilbert is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Rosario has a C grade vs this particular release point.

Logan Gilbert throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. Eddie Rosario has a C grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

44%

Slider (R)

29%

Kn-Curve (R)

Splitter (R)

15% of Logan Gilbert's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Eddie Rosario has a D+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 15%

+3%

Weak Challenge 10%

+2%

Edge Painter 17%

+0%

Chaser 6%

Strong Challenge 5%

Fringe Miss 12%

Likely Ball 19%

-1%

Meatball 5%

-2%

Non-Competitive 11%

-2%

35% of Logan Gilbert's pitches are classified as Medium Break Toward Third Base, which is 16% higher than the MLB average. Eddie Rosario has a D+ grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Break 35%

+16%

Very Fast Velo 22%

+14%

High Ride 20%

+10%

Breaking (R) 41%

+10%

14.2% of Eddie Rosario's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.7% lower than the league average. Logan Gilbert strikes out 18.2% of the batters he faces, which is 4.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

14%

Strikeout -0.7% +4.3% 5%

Walk -2.7% -4.2% 38%

In Play +3.4% 0.0% 39%

On Base -6.0% -7.3% 31%

Hit -3.3% -3.1% 14%

Single -1.9% -2.0% 13%

2B / 3B -1.4% -1.6% 3%

Home Run +0.0% +0.5%

35.5% of Eddie Rosario's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 1.1% higher than the league average. Logan Gilbert induces Standard Grounders at a 31.3% rate, which is 3.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.3% +0.7% 34%

Standard Grounder +1.1% -3.1% 7%

Hard Grounder -2.6% +1.6% 14%

Low Screamer -1.5% -2.0% 9%

Rising Liner -1.4% +1.4% 4%

Maybe Homer +0.5% -0.4% 3%

Likely Homer +0.5% +0.2% 1%

No Doubter -0.5% -0.3% 20%

Routine Flyout +4.3% +1.1% 3%

Pop up -0.8% +0.7%

16.0% of Eddie Rosario's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 8.3% lower than the league average. 27.3% of batted balls allowed by Logan Gilbert are hit at above 100 mph, which is 3.0% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +0.9% -2.3% 21%

75 to 86 mph +0.6% -3.4% 18%

87 to 93 mph +2.5% +0.6% 19%

94 to 99 mph +4.3% +2.0% 24%

Above 100 mph -8.3% +3.0%

12.9% of Eddie Rosario's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.5% higher than the league average. 9.3% of batted balls allowed by Logan Gilbert are hit at this angle, which is 2.2% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° +0.0% -3.2% 12%

-10 to 0° -1.6% +2.1% 8%

1 to 6° -0.4% +1.4% 18%

7 to 18° -0.9% +0.3% 15%

19 to 28° +0.1% -1.1% 11%

29 to 38° +1.5% -2.2% 7%

39 to 50° +1.9% +0.5% 8%

Above 50° -0.6% +2.2%

Eddie Rosario has 6 plate appearances against Logan Gilbert in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 6 with 4 strikeouts.

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	6	6	0	0	0	0	4	0	0.000
Expected From Contact →			0.03	0.00	0.02	0.02			0.006

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-05-25	Strikeout
2024-05-25	Groundout		1%	2%	97%
2024-05-25	Strikeout
2023-05-20	Flyout				99%
2023-05-20	Strikeout
2023-05-20	Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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