Matchup Machine

Eddie Rosario

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matchup for Clarke Schmidt

19th out of 436 (Best 5%)

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Clarke Schmidt

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matchup for Eddie Rosario

464th out of 567 (Worst 18%)

Strong advantage for Schmidt
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Model Prediction

Eddie Rosario has a 26.2% chance of reaching base vs Clarke Schmidt, which is 2.0% lower than Rosario's typical expectations, and 5.8% lower than batters facing Schmidt.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction26.2%18.3%2.0%4.2%12.1%7.9%29.8%
Rosario-2.0-3.4-0.3-1.3-1.7+1.4+3.2
Schmidt-5.8-1.3-0.4+0.1-1.0-4.5+4.8

Handedness and Release Point

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Eddie Rosario is better vs right-handed pitching. Clarke Schmidt is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Rosario has a C grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Clarke Schmidt throws a Slider 28% of the time. Eddie Rosario has a D- grade against right-handed Sliders

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Slider (R)
28%
   Cutter (R)
24%
   Sinker (R)
23%
   Kn-Curve (R)
19%

Contact and Outcomes

14.2% of Eddie Rosario's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.7% lower than the league average. Clarke Schmidt strikes out 15.8% of the batters he faces, which is 0.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 14%         Strikeout -0.7% +0.3% 5%         Walk -2.7% +1.6% 38%         In Play +3.4% -1.9% 39%         On Base -6.0% -0.3% 31%         Hit -3.3% -2.0% 14%         Single -1.9% -1.1% 13%         2B / 3B -1.4% -0.8% 3%         Home Run +0.0% 0.0%

History

Eddie Rosario has 2 plate appearances against Clarke Schmidt in the last 3 years. He is 2 for 2 with a double and

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual222011001.000
Expected From Contact →1.890.000.741.160.946
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2023-08-14Double73%24%4%
2023-08-14Single92%7%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.