Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Eddie Rosario

matchup for Erick Fedde

122nd out of 436 (Best 29%)

Erick Fedde

matchup for Eddie Rosario

150th out of 567 (Best 27%)

Leans in favor of Rosario

Eddie Rosario has a 29.9% chance of reaching base vs Erick Fedde, which is 1.7% higher than Rosario's typical expectations, and 2.2% lower than batters facing Fedde.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	29.9%	23.1%	2.0%	6.2%	14.9%	6.8%	19.9%
Rosario	+1.7	+1.5	-0.3	+0.7	+1.1	+0.3	-6.6
Fedde	-2.2	+0.2	-0.6	+0.9	-0.1	-2.4	+0.7

Eddie Rosario is better vs right-handed pitching. Erick Fedde is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Rosario has a C grade vs this particular release point.

Erick Fedde throws a Sinker 40% of the time. Eddie Rosario has an A grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Sinker (R)

40%

Cutter (R)

25%

Curve (R)

17%

Changeup (R)

Slider (R)

11% of Erick Fedde's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Eddie Rosario has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 11%

+3%

Likely Ball 21%

+2%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Non-Competitive 13%

+0%

Chaser 6%

Meatball 5%

-1%

Strong Challenge 4%

-1%

Mid Challenge 8%

-3%

30% of Erick Fedde's pitches are classified as Just Gravity, which is 16% higher than the MLB average. Eddie Rosario has a B grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Just Gravity 30%

+16%

Fastball (R) 67%

+13%

Medium Fast Velo 26%

+11%

Large Break 14%

+9%

14.2% of Eddie Rosario's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.7% lower than the league average. Erick Fedde strikes out 15.4% of the batters he faces, which is 0.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

14%

Strikeout -0.7% -0.7% 5%

Walk -2.7% -1.3% 38%

In Play +3.4% +2.1% 39%

On Base -6.0% +0.7% 31%

Hit -3.3% +2.1% 14%

Single -1.9% +0.8% 13%

2B / 3B -1.4% +1.3% 3%

Home Run +0.0% 0.0%

35.5% of Eddie Rosario's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 1.1% higher than the league average. Erick Fedde induces Standard Grounders at a 36.1% rate, which is 1.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.3% -0.3% 34%

Standard Grounder +1.1% +1.6% 7%

Hard Grounder -2.6% +0.3% 14%

Low Screamer -1.5% +0.0% 9%

Rising Liner -1.4% -0.8% 4%

Maybe Homer +0.5% +0.1% 3%

Likely Homer +0.5% -0.7% 1%

No Doubter -0.5% +0.3% 20%

Routine Flyout +4.3% -2.8% 3%

Pop up -0.8% +2.1%

16.0% of Eddie Rosario's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 8.3% lower than the league average. 27.5% of batted balls allowed by Erick Fedde are hit at above 100 mph, which is 3.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +0.9% +0.4% 21%

75 to 86 mph +0.6% -0.1% 18%

87 to 93 mph +2.5% -3.1% 19%

94 to 99 mph +4.3% -0.5% 24%

Above 100 mph -8.3% +3.2%

12.9% of Eddie Rosario's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.5% higher than the league average. 8.6% of batted balls allowed by Erick Fedde are hit at this angle, which is 2.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° +0.0% +2.6% 12%

-10 to 0° -1.6% +1.3% 8%

1 to 6° -0.4% -1.7% 18%

7 to 18° -0.9% -0.2% 15%

19 to 28° +0.1% +0.9% 11%

29 to 38° +1.5% -2.8% 7%

39 to 50° +1.9% -1.1% 8%

Above 50° -0.6% +1.0%

Eddie Rosario has 5 plate appearances against Erick Fedde in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 5 with a double and

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	5	5	1	0	1	0	1	0	0.200
Expected From Contact →			1.71	0.01	0.86	0.84			0.342

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-05-14	Double		45%	3%	52%
2024-05-14	Strikeout
2024-05-14	Lineout		40%	15%	45%
2022-07-08	Groundout			39%	60%
2022-07-08	Forceout			27%	72%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

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On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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