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Eddie Rosario

matchup for Miles Mikolas

66th out of 436 (Best 16%)

Miles Mikolas

matchup for Eddie Rosario

134th out of 567 (Best 24%)

Leans in favor of Rosario

Eddie Rosario has a 28.7% chance of reaching base vs Miles Mikolas, which is 0.5% higher than Rosario's typical expectations, and 3.5% lower than batters facing Mikolas.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	28.7%	25.7%	2.2%	7.8%	15.7%	3.0%	20.8%
Rosario	+0.5	+4.0	-0.2	+2.3	+1.9	-3.5	-5.7
Mikolas	-3.5	-2.4	-1.1	+1.2	-2.5	-1.1	+0.3

Eddie Rosario is better vs right-handed pitching. Miles Mikolas is right handed with an extreme release toward the third base side. Rosario has an A- grade vs this particular release point.

Miles Mikolas throws a 4-seam fastball 27% of the time. Eddie Rosario has a C grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

27%

Slider (R)

26%

Sinker (R)

23%

Curve (R)

18%

Changeup (R)

13% of Miles Mikolas's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 5% higher than the MLB average. Eddie Rosario has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 13%

+5%

Edge Painter 19%

+2%

Mid Challenge 12%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Strong Challenge 5%

Meatball 5%

-1%

Chaser 5%

-1%

Likely Ball 18%

-2%

Non-Competitive 9%

-4%

28% of Miles Mikolas's pitches are classified as Medium Fast Velocity, which is 13% higher than the MLB average. Eddie Rosario has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Fast Velo 28%

+13%

Extreme Drop 18%

+13%

Breaking (R) 44%

+13%

14.2% of Eddie Rosario's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.7% lower than the league average. Miles Mikolas strikes out 13.5% of the batters he faces, which is 3.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

14%

Strikeout -0.7% -3.3% 5%

Walk -2.7% -3.9% 38%

In Play +3.4% +7.2% 39%

On Base -6.0% -0.6% 31%

Hit -3.3% +3.3% 14%

Single -1.9% +1.5% 13%

2B / 3B -1.4% +1.8% 3%

Home Run +0.0% +0.0%

35.5% of Eddie Rosario's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 1.1% higher than the league average. Miles Mikolas induces Standard Grounders at a 38.7% rate, which is 4.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.3% -0.5% 34%

Standard Grounder +1.1% +4.3% 7%

Hard Grounder -2.6% +1.2% 14%

Low Screamer -1.5% -1.7% 9%

Rising Liner -1.4% +0.9% 4%

Maybe Homer +0.5% +0.6% 3%

Likely Homer +0.5% -0.5% 1%

No Doubter -0.5% -0.5% 20%

Routine Flyout +4.3% -3.7% 3%

Pop up -0.8% -0.2%

16.0% of Eddie Rosario's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 8.3% lower than the league average. 25.4% of batted balls allowed by Miles Mikolas are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +0.9% -0.9% 21%

75 to 86 mph +0.6% +0.6% 18%

87 to 93 mph +2.5% -1.5% 19%

94 to 99 mph +4.3% +0.7% 24%

Above 100 mph -8.3% +1.1%

12.9% of Eddie Rosario's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.5% higher than the league average. 9.1% of batted balls allowed by Miles Mikolas are hit at this angle, which is 2.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° +0.0% +0.5% 12%

-10 to 0° -1.6% +1.8% 8%

1 to 6° -0.4% +1.4% 18%

7 to 18° -0.9% +1.9% 15%

19 to 28° +0.1% +0.4% 11%

29 to 38° +1.5% -2.3% 7%

39 to 50° +1.9% -1.5% 8%

Above 50° -0.6% -2.1%

Eddie Rosario has 10 plate appearances against Miles Mikolas in the last 3 years. He is 2 for 9 with a home run, a walk

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	10	9	2	1	0	1	2	1	0.222
Expected From Contact →			3.25	1.62	0.51	1.12			0.361

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-07-21	Pop Out				100%
2024-07-21	Strikeout
2023-09-05	Walk
2023-09-05	Lineout		19%	21%	60%
2023-09-05	Single		2%	49%	49%
2023-04-05	Lineout		19%	41%	40%
2023-04-05	Flyout	63%	9%		28%
2023-04-05	Strikeout
2022-07-06	Groundout		1%	1%	98%
2022-07-06	Home Run	98%	1%		1%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

Matchup Machine
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