Matchup Machine

      Hunter Renfroe

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      matchup for Hunter Gaddis

      298th out of 436 (Worst 32%)

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      Hunter Gaddis

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      matchup for Hunter Renfroe

      442nd out of 564 (Worst 22%)

      Moderate advantage for Gaddis
      3

      Model Prediction

      Hunter Renfroe has a 27.8% chance of reaching base vs Hunter Gaddis, which is 3.3% lower than Renfroe's typical expectations, and 0.3% higher than batters facing Gaddis.

      Handedness and Release Point

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      Hunter Renfroe is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Hunter Gaddis is right handed with an extreme release toward the third base side. Renfroe has a B grade vs this particular release point.

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      On the Way to the Plate

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      Hunter Gaddis throws a 4-seam fastball 39% of the time. Hunter Renfroe has a C grade against right-handed 4-seamers

      Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
      39%
         Slider (R)
      31%
         Changeup (R)
      18%
         Cutter (R)
      9%

      Contact and Outcomes

      12.4% of Hunter Renfroe's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.6% lower than the league average. Hunter Gaddis strikes out 15.4% of the batters he faces, which is 0.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

      MLB Typical BP Label 16%         Strikeout -3.6% -0.6% 4%         Walk +1.1% -1.7% 39%         In Play +2.6% +2.3% 39%         On Base -1.4% -5.5% 31%         Hit -2.5% -3.8% 14%         Single -1.6% -2.9% 13%         2B / 3B -1.4% -2.4% 3%         Home Run +0.5% +1.5%

      History

      Hunter Renfroe has 2 plate appearances against Hunter Gaddis in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 1 with a walk

      PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
      Actual210000010.000
      Expected From Contact →0.010.000.000.010.006
      Expected From Contact
      Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
      2025-03-30Walk
      2024-06-06Pop Out99%

      Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.