Matchup Machine

Hunter Renfroe

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matchup for Jared Jones

163rd out of 436 (Best 38%)

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Jared Jones

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matchup for Hunter Renfroe

430th out of 567 (Worst 24%)

Moderate advantage for Jones
3

Model Prediction

Hunter Renfroe has a 29.6% chance of reaching base vs Jared Jones, which is 0.8% lower than Renfroe's typical expectations, and 1.5% lower than batters facing Jones.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction29.6%19.0%2.6%4.3%12.1%10.5%28.4%
Renfroe-0.8-1.40.0-0.4-1.1+0.6+5.3
Jones-1.5-1.8-0.3-0.8-0.7+0.3-0.2

Handedness and Release Point

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Hunter Renfroe is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Jared Jones is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Renfroe has an A- grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Jared Jones throws a 4-seam fastball 49% of the time. Hunter Renfroe has a C grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
49%
   Slider (R)
35%
   Curve (R)
9%
   Changeup (R)
7%

Contact and Outcomes

12.8% of Hunter Renfroe's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.0% lower than the league average. Jared Jones strikes out 15.6% of the batters he faces, which is 0.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout -3.0% +0.4% 4%         Walk +1.0% +0.6% 39%         In Play +2.0% -1.1% 39%         On Base -1.2% -0.1% 31%         Hit -2.2% -0.8% 14%         Single -1.5% -1.1% 13%         2B / 3B -1.3% -0.5% 3%         Home Run +0.5% +0.9%

History

No History in the last 3 years