Matchup Machine

Hunter Renfroe

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matchup for Garrett Crochet

334th out of 436 (Worst 24%)

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Garrett Crochet

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matchup for Hunter Renfroe

449th out of 567 (Worst 21%)

Moderate advantage for Crochet
4

Model Prediction

Hunter Renfroe has a 28.3% chance of reaching base vs Garrett Crochet, which is 2.1% lower than Renfroe's typical expectations, and 0.8% higher than batters facing Crochet.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction28.3%21.1%3.1%5.5%12.5%7.2%32.7%
Renfroe-2.1+0.6+0.4+0.8-0.7-2.7+9.7
Crochet+0.8+0.1+0.6+0.4-0.9+0.7-2.6

Handedness and Release Point

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Hunter Renfroe is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Garrett Crochet is left handed with an extreme release toward the first base side. Renfroe has a B grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Garrett Crochet throws a 4-seam fastball 58% of the time. Hunter Renfroe has a C+ grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
58%
   Cutter (L)
18%
   Slider (L)
16%
   Changeup (L)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

12.8% of Hunter Renfroe's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.0% lower than the league average. Garrett Crochet strikes out 21.3% of the batters he faces, which is 9.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout -3.0% +9.4% 4%         Walk +1.0% -1.3% 39%         In Play +2.0% -8.1% 39%         On Base -1.2% -3.9% 31%         Hit -2.2% -2.5% 14%         Single -1.5% -1.4% 13%         2B / 3B -1.3% -1.1% 3%         Home Run +0.5% +0.1%

History

Hunter Renfroe has 2 plate appearances against Garrett Crochet in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 2 with a home run and

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual221100000.500
Expected From Contact →1.060.260.660.140.531
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-04-07Groundout3%4%93%
2024-04-07Home Run26%63%9%1%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.