Matchup Machine

Hunter Renfroe

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matchup for Tanner Bibee

258th out of 436 (Worst 41%)

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Tanner Bibee

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matchup for Hunter Renfroe

232nd out of 567 (Best 42%)

Moderate advantage for Renfroe
3

Model Prediction

Hunter Renfroe has a 32.0% chance of reaching base vs Tanner Bibee, which is 1.1% higher than Renfroe's typical expectations, and 0.2% higher than batters facing Bibee.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction32.0%22.6%2.5%5.6%14.6%9.4%22.9%
Renfroe+1.1+1.9-0.2+0.9+1.2-0.8-0.2
Bibee+0.2-0.3-0.3+0.3-0.4+0.6-2.9

Handedness and Release Point

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Hunter Renfroe is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Tanner Bibee is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Renfroe has a C grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Tanner Bibee throws a 4-seam fastball 45% of the time. Hunter Renfroe has a C grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
45%
   Slider (R)
27%
   Changeup (R)
17%
   Curve (R)
9%

Contact and Outcomes

13.0% of Hunter Renfroe's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.7% lower than the league average. Tanner Bibee strikes out 17.9% of the batters he faces, which is 3.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout -2.7% +3.2% 4%         Walk +0.7% -1.5% 39%         In Play +2.0% -1.7% 39%         On Base -1.5% -0.6% 31%         Hit -2.2% +0.9% 14%         Single -1.4% +0.1% 13%         2B / 3B -1.2% +0.5% 3%         Home Run +0.4% +0.3%

History

Hunter Renfroe has 7 plate appearances against Tanner Bibee in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 7 with a strikeout.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual771001100.143
Expected From Contact →0.740.000.020.720.106
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-06-29Flyout100%
2024-06-29Strikeout
2024-06-06Single1%72%27%
2024-06-06Hit By Pitch
2023-05-14Flyout100%
2023-05-14Lineout100%
2023-05-14Flyout100%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.