Matchup Machine

Hunter Renfroe

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matchup for Hunter Greene

88th out of 436 (Best 21%)

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Hunter Greene

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matchup for Hunter Renfroe

562nd out of 567 (Worst 1%)

Extreme advantage for Greene
9

Model Prediction

Hunter Renfroe has a 22.7% chance of reaching base vs Hunter Greene, which is 7.7% lower than Renfroe's typical expectations, and 3.1% lower than batters facing Greene.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction22.7%14.2%2.3%3.1%8.8%8.5%31.5%
Renfroe-7.7-6.3-0.3-1.5-4.4-1.5+8.5
Greene-3.1-2.3-0.5-0.5-1.3-0.8+0.4

Handedness and Release Point

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Hunter Renfroe is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Hunter Greene is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Renfroe has a C grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Hunter Greene throws a 4-seam fastball 55% of the time. Hunter Renfroe has a C grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
55%
   Slider (R)
38%

Contact and Outcomes

12.8% of Hunter Renfroe's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.0% lower than the league average. Hunter Greene strikes out 19.6% of the batters he faces, which is 8.0% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout -3.0% +8.0% 4%         Walk +1.0% +0.5% 39%         In Play +2.0% -8.5% 39%         On Base -1.2% -6.2% 31%         Hit -2.2% -6.7% 14%         Single -1.5% -3.4% 13%         2B / 3B -1.3% -3.0% 3%         Home Run +0.5% -0.3%

History

Hunter Renfroe has 6 plate appearances against Hunter Greene in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 4 with a home run, 2 walks

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual641100220.250
Expected From Contact →0.950.630.250.070.238
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2022-09-22Walk
2022-09-22Walk
2022-06-17Home Run63%25%7%5%
2022-06-17Strikeout
2022-05-05Pop Out100%
2022-05-05Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.