Matchup Machine

Hunter Renfroe

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matchup for Clarke Schmidt

159th out of 436 (Best 37%)

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Clarke Schmidt

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matchup for Hunter Renfroe

389th out of 567 (Worst 32%)

Leans in favor of Schmidt
2

Model Prediction

Hunter Renfroe has a 31.4% chance of reaching base vs Clarke Schmidt, which is 1.0% higher than Renfroe's typical expectations, and 0.6% lower than batters facing Schmidt.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction31.4%16.9%1.9%3.4%11.5%14.5%24.3%
Renfroe+1.0-3.6-0.7-1.2-1.6+4.6+1.2
Schmidt-0.6-2.7-0.5-0.7-1.6+2.1-0.7

Handedness and Release Point

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Hunter Renfroe is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Clarke Schmidt is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Renfroe has an A- grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Clarke Schmidt throws a Slider 28% of the time. Hunter Renfroe has a B grade against right-handed Sliders

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Slider (R)
28%
   Cutter (R)
24%
   Sinker (R)
23%
   Kn-Curve (R)
19%

Contact and Outcomes

12.8% of Hunter Renfroe's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.0% lower than the league average. Clarke Schmidt strikes out 15.8% of the batters he faces, which is 0.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout -3.0% +0.3% 4%         Walk +1.0% +1.6% 39%         In Play +2.0% -1.9% 39%         On Base -1.2% -0.3% 31%         Hit -2.2% -2.0% 14%         Single -1.5% -1.1% 13%         2B / 3B -1.3% -0.8% 3%         Home Run +0.5% 0.0%

History

Hunter Renfroe has 3 plate appearances against Clarke Schmidt in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 3 with a double and

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual331010100.333
Expected From Contact →0.380.000.290.090.126
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2023-04-18Double Play
2023-04-18Double29%9%62%
2022-09-18Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.