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Hunter Renfroe

matchup for Zach Eflin

83rd out of 436 (Best 20%)

Zach Eflin

matchup for Hunter Renfroe

376th out of 567 (Worst 34%)

Leans in favor of Eflin

Hunter Renfroe has a 26.7% chance of reaching base vs Zach Eflin, which is 3.6% lower than Renfroe's typical expectations, and 2.7% lower than batters facing Eflin.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	26.7%	20.1%	2.9%	4.9%	12.3%	6.6%	18.0%
Renfroe	-3.6	-0.3	+0.2	+0.3	-0.9	-3.3	-5.1
Eflin	-2.7	-3.0	-0.2	-0.7	-2.1	+0.4	-1.5

Hunter Renfroe is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Zach Eflin is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Renfroe has a C grade vs this particular release point.

Zach Eflin throws a Sinker 33% of the time. Hunter Renfroe has an A grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Sinker (R)

33%

Curve (R)

19%

Cutter (R)

16%

Slider (R)

13%

4-Seam (R)

10%

Changeup (R)

12% of Zach Eflin's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 4% higher than the MLB average. Hunter Renfroe has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 12%

+4%

Edge Painter 19%

+2%

Fringe Miss 14%

+1%

Chaser 7%

+1%

Meatball 6%

Strong Challenge 4%

-1%

Likely Ball 18%

-1%

Mid Challenge 10%

-1%

Non-Competitive 9%

-4%

35% of Zach Eflin's pitches are classified as Extreme Break Toward Third Base, which is 20% higher than the MLB average. Hunter Renfroe has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Extreme Break 35%

+20%

Just Gravity 31%

+17%

Extreme Slow Velo 17%

+12%

12.8% of Hunter Renfroe's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.0% lower than the league average. Zach Eflin strikes out 15.6% of the batters he faces, which is 0.0% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

15%

Strikeout -3.0% 0.0% 4%

Walk +1.0% -4.0% 39%

In Play +2.0% +4.0% 39%

On Base -1.2% -3.7% 31%

Hit -2.2% +0.2% 14%

Single -1.5% +0.0% 13%

2B / 3B -1.3% +0.0% 3%

Home Run +0.5% +0.1%

31.7% of Hunter Renfroe's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 2.7% lower than the league average. Zach Eflin induces Standard Grounders at a 36.4% rate, which is 1.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.3% +0.5% 34%

Standard Grounder -2.7% +1.9% 7%

Hard Grounder +0.0% -0.1% 14%

Low Screamer -2.1% -0.6% 9%

Rising Liner -2.8% -1.3% 4%

Maybe Homer +1.1% 0.0% 3%

Likely Homer +2.0% -1.0% 1%

No Doubter +0.9% +0.3% 20%

Routine Flyout +0.7% -0.1% 3%

Pop up +2.6% +0.4%

28.5% of Hunter Renfroe's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 4.2% higher than the league average. 25.7% of batted balls allowed by Zach Eflin are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +0.4% +1.7% 21%

75 to 86 mph -2.6% -1.5% 18%

87 to 93 mph +1.0% +1.7% 19%

94 to 99 mph -2.9% -3.4% 24%

Above 100 mph +4.2% +1.4%

11.1% of Hunter Renfroe's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.3% lower than the league average. 11.1% of batted balls allowed by Zach Eflin are hit at this angle, which is 0.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -0.5% +1.7% 12%

-10 to 0° +0.2% +1.0% 8%

1 to 6° -0.7% -0.1% 18%

7 to 18° -4.7% -2.3% 15%

19 to 28° -1.9% -1.1% 11%

29 to 38° -0.3% -0.3% 7%

39 to 50° +2.5% +1.8% 8%

Above 50° +5.4% -0.8%

Hunter Renfroe has 9 plate appearances against Zach Eflin in the last 3 years. He is 3 for 8 with a home run, a double and a walk

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	9	8	3	1	1	1	0	1	0.375
Expected From Contact →			3.77	0.84	1.09	1.84			0.472

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-10-02	Pop Out				100%
2024-10-02	Walk
2024-07-04	Groundout			9%	91%
2024-07-04	Double		90%	6%	4%
2024-07-04	Single		2%	72%	26%
2023-08-19	Flyout		3%	53%	43%
2023-08-19	Home Run	84%	12%	3%
2022-06-09	Flyout				98%
2022-06-09	Groundout			40%	60%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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