Matchup Machine

Hunter Renfroe

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matchup for Tyler Anderson

246th out of 436 (Worst 44%)

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Tyler Anderson

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matchup for Hunter Renfroe

93rd out of 567 (Best 17%)

Strong advantage for Renfroe
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Model Prediction

Hunter Renfroe has a 32.8% chance of reaching base vs Tyler Anderson, which is 2.4% higher than Renfroe's typical expectations, and 0.9% lower than batters facing Anderson.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction32.8%21.7%3.3%5.0%13.4%11.1%19.1%
Renfroe+2.4+1.2+0.6+0.4+0.2+1.2-3.9
Anderson-0.9-0.6+0.3-0.2-0.7-0.4-2.5

Handedness and Release Point

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Hunter Renfroe is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Tyler Anderson is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Renfroe has a B grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Tyler Anderson throws a 4-seam fastball 38% of the time. Hunter Renfroe has a C+ grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
38%
   Changeup (L)
32%
   Cutter (L)
22%
   Sinker (L)
7%

Contact and Outcomes

12.8% of Hunter Renfroe's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.0% lower than the league average. Tyler Anderson strikes out 14.6% of the batters he faces, which is 1.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout -3.0% -1.9% 4%         Walk +1.0% -1.0% 39%         In Play +2.0% +2.9% 39%         On Base -1.2% -0.1% 31%         Hit -2.2% +0.9% 14%         Single -1.5% +0.5% 13%         2B / 3B -1.3% +0.6% 3%         Home Run +0.5% -0.2%

History

Hunter Renfroe has 6 plate appearances against Tyler Anderson in the last 3 years. He is 2 for 6 with a strikeout.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual662002100.333
Expected From Contact →1.190.010.081.090.198
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-08-20Single7%69%24%
2024-08-20Groundout5%95%
2024-08-20Single35%65%
2024-05-11Flyout1%98%
2024-05-11Strikeout
2024-05-11Pop Out100%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.