Matchup Machine

J.T. Realmuto

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matchup for Declan Cronin

244th out of 436 (Worst 44%)

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Declan Cronin

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matchup for J.T. Realmuto

219th out of 567 (Best 39%)

Leans in favor of Realmuto
2

Model Prediction

J.T. Realmuto has a 33.2% chance of reaching base vs Declan Cronin, which is 2.5% higher than Realmuto's typical expectations, and 0.8% higher than batters facing Cronin.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction33.2%23.3%1.8%5.1%16.4%9.9%25.2%
Realmuto+2.5+1.6-0.6-0.4+2.5+0.9-1.6
Cronin+0.8+0.1-0.4+0.60.0+0.6+1.4

Handedness and Release Point

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J.T. Realmuto is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Declan Cronin is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Realmuto has an A grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Declan Cronin throws a Slider 52% of the time. J.T. Realmuto has a B grade against right-handed Sliders

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Slider (R)
52%
   Sinker (R)
41%
   4-Seam (R)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

15.7% of J.T. Realmuto's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.9% higher than the league average. Declan Cronin strikes out 15.6% of the batters he faces, which is 0.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 13%         Strikeout +1.9% -0.3% 5%         Walk -1.3% -0.3% 40%         In Play -0.6% +0.5% 39%         On Base -0.3% +3.8% 31%         Hit +1.0% +4.0% 14%         Single -0.3% +2.7% 13%         2B / 3B 0.0% +3.1% 3%         Home Run +1.3% -1.7%

History

J.T. Realmuto has 2 plate appearances against Declan Cronin in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 2 with a double and

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual221010000.500
Expected From Contact →1.600.351.020.240.802
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-08-14Double66%24%10%
2024-05-10Flyout35%35%30%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.