Matchup Machine

J.T. Realmuto

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matchup for George Kirby

220th out of 436 (Best 51%)

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George Kirby

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matchup for J.T. Realmuto

343rd out of 567 (Worst 40%)

Leans in favor of Kirby
2

Model Prediction

J.T. Realmuto has a 28.0% chance of reaching base vs George Kirby, which is 2.6% lower than Realmuto's typical expectations, and 0.2% higher than batters facing Kirby.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction28.0%22.8%2.6%5.9%14.2%5.3%23.3%
Realmuto-2.6+1.1+0.3+0.4+0.4-3.7-3.4
Kirby-0.2+0.10.0+0.7-0.6-0.3+2.6

Handedness and Release Point

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J.T. Realmuto is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. George Kirby is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Realmuto has an A grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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George Kirby throws a 4-seam fastball 40% of the time. J.T. Realmuto has a B grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
40%
   Slider (R)
22%
   Sinker (R)
19%
   Curve (R)
8%
   Splitter (R)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

15.7% of J.T. Realmuto's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.9% higher than the league average. George Kirby strikes out 15.6% of the batters he faces, which is 0.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 13%         Strikeout +1.9% +0.5% 5%         Walk -1.3% -5.1% 40%         In Play -0.6% +4.6% 39%         On Base -0.3% -3.9% 31%         Hit +1.0% +1.2% 14%         Single -0.3% +0.5% 13%         2B / 3B 0.0% +0.8% 3%         Home Run +1.3% -0.1%

History

No History in the last 3 years