Matchup Machine

J.T. Realmuto

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matchup for Jack Flaherty

141st out of 436 (Best 33%)

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Jack Flaherty

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matchup for J.T. Realmuto

156th out of 567 (Best 28%)

Moderate advantage for Realmuto
4

Model Prediction

J.T. Realmuto has a 32.8% chance of reaching base vs Jack Flaherty, which is 2.2% higher than Realmuto's typical expectations, and 1.4% lower than batters facing Flaherty.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction32.8%22.7%3.0%5.5%14.2%10.2%26.3%
Realmuto+2.2+1.0+0.60.0+0.4+1.2-0.5
Flaherty-1.4-0.6-0.6+0.4-0.3-0.8+3.5

Handedness and Release Point

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J.T. Realmuto is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Jack Flaherty is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Realmuto has a C+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Jack Flaherty throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. J.T. Realmuto has a B grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
44%
   Slider (R)
27%
   Kn-Curve (R)
18%

Contact and Outcomes

15.7% of J.T. Realmuto's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.9% higher than the league average. Jack Flaherty strikes out 20.5% of the batters he faces, which is 5.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 13%         Strikeout +1.9% +5.8% 5%         Walk -1.3% -1.5% 40%         In Play -0.6% -4.3% 39%         On Base -0.3% -2.0% 31%         Hit +1.0% -0.5% 14%         Single -0.3% +0.0% 13%         2B / 3B 0.0% -0.3% 3%         Home Run +1.3% -0.2%

History

No History in the last 3 years