Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

J.T. Realmuto

matchup for Aaron Nola

126th out of 436 (Best 30%)

Aaron Nola

matchup for J.T. Realmuto

442nd out of 567 (Worst 22%)

Moderate advantage for Nola

J.T. Realmuto has a 28.3% chance of reaching base vs Aaron Nola, which is 2.4% lower than Realmuto's typical expectations, and 1.2% lower than batters facing Nola.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	28.3%	21.5%	2.3%	6.5%	12.8%	6.8%	34.9%
Realmuto	-2.4	-0.2	-0.1	+1.0	-1.1	-2.2	+8.1
Nola	-1.2	-0.9	-0.7	+0.2	-0.4	-0.3	+4.0

J.T. Realmuto is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Aaron Nola is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Realmuto has an A grade vs this particular release point.

Aaron Nola throws a Kn-Curve 30% of the time. J.T. Realmuto hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Kn-Curve (R)

30%

4-Seam (R)

30%

Sinker (R)

20%

Changeup (R)

12%

Cutter (R)

8% of Aaron Nola's pitches are classified as Chasers, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. J.T. Realmuto has an F grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Chaser 8%

+2%

Edge Painter 19%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+1%

Mid Challenge 12%

+0%

Strong Challenge 5%

+0%

Weak Challenge 8%

Likely Ball 19%

Meatball 5%

-1%

Non-Competitive 9%

-4%

26% of Aaron Nola's pitches are classified as Extreme Drop, which is 21% higher than the MLB average. J.T. Realmuto has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Extreme Drop 26%

+21%

Extreme Slow Velo 23%

+18%

Large Break 22%

+18%

15.7% of J.T. Realmuto's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.9% higher than the league average. Aaron Nola strikes out 20.3% of the batters he faces, which is 6.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

13%

Strikeout +1.9% +6.3% 5%

Walk -1.3% -2.8% 40%

In Play -0.6% -3.5% 39%

On Base -0.3% -4.8% 31%

Hit +1.0% -2.0% 14%

Single -0.3% -0.8% 13%

2B / 3B 0.0% -0.7% 3%

Home Run +1.3% -0.5%

33.8% of J.T. Realmuto's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 0.6% lower than the league average. Aaron Nola induces Standard Grounders at a 37.3% rate, which is 2.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.5% 0.0% 34%

Standard Grounder -0.6% +2.9% 7%

Hard Grounder +1.8% -0.6% 14%

Low Screamer -2.0% -1.6% 9%

Rising Liner -0.5% +0.5% 4%

Maybe Homer +1.5% -0.3% 3%

Likely Homer +0.3% +0.1% 1%

No Doubter +0.1% +0.1% 20%

Routine Flyout +0.2% -0.4% 3%

Pop up -0.4% -0.7%

27.2% of J.T. Realmuto's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 2.9% higher than the league average. 23.6% of batted balls allowed by Aaron Nola are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -1.4% +0.6% 21%

75 to 86 mph -3.6% -0.2% 18%

87 to 93 mph -1.6% +2.2% 19%

94 to 99 mph +3.7% -1.9% 24%

Above 100 mph +2.9% -0.7%

10.3% of J.T. Realmuto's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.2% lower than the league average. 10.9% of batted balls allowed by Aaron Nola are hit at this angle, which is 0.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%