Matchup Machine

J.T. Realmuto

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matchup for Thyago Vieira

206th out of 436 (Best 48%)

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Thyago Vieira

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matchup for J.T. Realmuto

218th out of 567 (Best 39%)

Leans in favor of Realmuto
2

Model Prediction

J.T. Realmuto has a 33.5% chance of reaching base vs Thyago Vieira, which is 2.9% higher than Realmuto's typical expectations, and 0.2% higher than batters facing Vieira.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction33.5%19.5%2.0%5.3%12.2%14.0%27.5%
Realmuto+2.9-2.2-0.4-0.2-1.6+5.0+0.8
Vieira-0.2-0.6-0.3+0.7-1.1+0.5+3.1

Handedness and Release Point

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J.T. Realmuto is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Thyago Vieira is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Realmuto has a C+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Thyago Vieira throws a 4-seam fastball 42% of the time. J.T. Realmuto has a B grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
42%
   Slider (R)
30%
   Sinker (R)
25%

Contact and Outcomes

15.7% of J.T. Realmuto's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.9% higher than the league average. Thyago Vieira strikes out 13.2% of the batters he faces, which is 2.2% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 13%         Strikeout +1.9% -2.2% 5%         Walk -1.3% +4.2% 40%         In Play -0.6% -2.0% 39%         On Base -0.3% +1.5% 31%         Hit +1.0% -2.7% 14%         Single -0.3% -2.0% 13%         2B / 3B 0.0% -1.6% 3%         Home Run +1.3% +0.9%

History

No History in the last 3 years