Matchup Machine

J.T. Realmuto

Worst 1% of matchups for Austin Gomber

Austin Gomber

Best 5% of matchups for J.T. Realmuto

Extreme advantage for Realmuto

+10

Model Prediction
Prediction	5.7%	4.8%	16.5%	8.0%	13.8%
MLB (+/-)	+2.9	+0.6	+2.6	-1.7	-11.4
Realmuto	+0.9	+0.3	+3.0	-1.3	-9.3
Gomber	+2.4	+0.5	+0.3	+0.1	-2.5

Model Prediction

2B / 3B

Prediction

5.7%

4.8%

16.5%

8.0%

13.8%

MLB (+/-)

+2.9

+0.6

+2.6

-1.7

-11.4

Realmuto

+0.9

+0.3

+3.0

-1.3

-9.3

Gomber

+2.4

+0.5

+0.3

+0.1

-2.5

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

History (Last 3 Years)
	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	4	4	1	0	1	0	1	0	.250
Expected From Contact →			1.92	0.68	0.86	0.38			.479

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2023-05-12	Groundout		40%	12%	47%
2023-05-12	Double	68%	25%	2%	5%
2022-04-28	Strikeout
2022-04-28	Fielders Choice		20%	24%	56%

	Swing	Grade	Handedness	Grade	Freq
⭐	51%	77	RHB vs LHP	-14	80%

Swing

Grade

Handedness

Grade

Freq

⭐

51%

RHB vs LHP

-14

80%

	Swing	Grade	Pitch Type	Grade	Freq
	55%	48	Fastball	16	45%
	31%	25	Breaking	-26	37%
⭐	11%	60	Offspeed	0	18%
			------------------
	56%	16	Four-Seam FB	-3	44%
	48%	21	Slider	-6	20%
⭐	59%	76	Changeup	0	18%
	51%	46	Knuckle-Curve	-94	17%

Swing

Grade

Pitch Type

Grade

Freq

55%

Fastball

45%

31%

Breaking

-26

37%

⭐

11%

Offspeed

18%

------------------

56%

Four-Seam FB

-3

44%

48%

Slider

-6

20%

⭐

59%

Changeup

18%

51%

Knuckle-Curve

-94

17%

	Swing	Grade	Location (in zone)	Grade	Freq
⭐	73%	70	Bottom of zone	13	13%
	72%	40	Top of zone	-3	12%
⭐⭐	59%	87	Away / Arm Side	9	11%
	65%	51	In / Glove Side	-29	10%
⭐⭐	77%	109	Middle	-23	7%

Swing

Grade

Location (in zone)

Grade

Freq

⭐

73%

Bottom of zone

13%

72%

Top of zone

-3

12%

⭐⭐

59%

Away / Arm Side

11%

65%

In / Glove Side

-29

10%

⭐⭐

77%

109

Middle

-23

	Swing	Grade	Location (out of zone)	Grade	Freq
	42%	30	Below the zone	22	30%
	37%	32	In / Glove Side	30	24%
	38%	28	Above the zone	8	24%
⭐	32%	68	Away / Arm Side	-3	22%

Swing

Grade

Location (out of zone)

Grade

Freq

42%

Below the zone

30%

37%

In / Glove Side

24%

38%

Above the zone

24%

⭐

32%

Away / Arm Side

-3

22%

	Swing	Grade	Count	Grade	Freq
	33%	32	First Pitch	10	28%
	58%	11	Batter Behind	0	28%
⭐⭐	58%	81	Batter Ahead	4	26%
	68%	20	2 Strikes	-23	26%
	67%	27	3 Balls	2	8%
	81%	34	Full Count	-9	4%

Swing

Grade

Count

Grade

Freq

33%

First Pitch

28%

58%

Batter Behind

28%

⭐⭐

58%

Batter Ahead

26%

68%

2 Strikes

-23

26%

67%

3 Balls

81%

Full Count

-9